30.07.2026 21:30
Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 83.3%
Draw 7.7%
Deportivo Recoleta Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.38
Deportivo Recoleta1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
39 GF / 39 GA
Deportivo Recoleta
WLDWL
36 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
14
4.28
Shots on Goal
3.74
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad Asuncion
29 matches
Deportivo Recoleta
23 matches
| Libertad Asuncion | Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 39 | Goals For | 36 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.28 | Shots On Goal | 3.74 |
| 12.31 | Total Shots | 10.3 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 3.48 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 3 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 3, draws 3, Deportivo Recoleta wins 1
Standings
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Libertad Asuncion
Home
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Away
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)