BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Referee: V. Mitrev
Levski Sofia
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Bernard Tekpetey
Ludogorets
🟨
44'
Kristian Dimitrov
Levski Sofia
🟨
47'
Ivajlo Chochev
Ludogorets
🟨
50'
Akram Bouras
Levski Sofia
🔄
57'
B. Tekpetey ↔ E. Bile
Ludogorets
🔄
63'
F. Kaloc ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Ludogorets
🔄
66'
M. Dugandzic ↔ M. Sangare
Levski Sofia
🔄
66'
A. Oko-Flex ↔ M. Soula
Levski Sofia
🔄
81'
G. Kostadinov ↔ G. Trdin
Levski Sofia
🔄
81'
R. Kirilov ↔ N. Serafimov
Levski Sofia
89'
P. Stanic · Assist: Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🟨
90+6'
Oliver Kamdem
Levski Sofia
🔄
90'
Everton Bala ↔ K. Fabien
Levski Sofia
🔄
90+8'
Erick Marcus ↔ G. Terziev
Ludogorets

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Levski Sofia Win 69.1%
Draw 3.4%
Ludogorets Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levski Sofia1.48
Ludogorets1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WWDLW
72 GF / 30 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
83 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.66
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
27
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 40 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 50 matches
Levski Sofia Statistic Ludogorets
26 Wins 24
7 Draws 13
7 Losses 13
72 Goals For 83
30 Goals Against 50
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 36
20 Over 2.5 27
12 Over 3.5 13
18 Clean Sheets 21
11 Failed To Score 13
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.11
9.5 Total Shots 12.17
4.11 Corners 4.68
38.7% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ludogorets. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ludogorets arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 76 points after 32 outings. The return of 24 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 68:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Everton Bala (17 goals), M. Sangare (9 goals), M. Petkov (7 goals), with creative support from M. Soula (8 assists), R. Kirilov (5 assists), Maicon Araujo dos Santos (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets sit 3 with 60 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 58:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Chochev (16 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), P. Stanic (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levski Sofia won 2 times, Ludogorets won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Levski Sofia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Levski Sofia wins 2, draws 5, Ludogorets wins 8

Lineups

Levski Sofia
Formation
Ludogorets
S. Vutsov
S. Vutsov
O. Kamdem
O. Kamdem
K. Dimitrov
K. Dimitrov
C. Makoun
C. Makoun
Maicon
Maicon
A. Bouras
A. Bouras
G. Kostadinov
G. Kostadinov
R. Kirilov
R. Kirilov
Everton Bala
Everton Bala
A. Oko-Flex
A. Oko-Flex
M. Dugandzic
M. Dugandzic
H. Bonmann
H. Bonmann
Son
Son
I. Nachmias
I. Nachmias
A. Nedyalkov
A. Nedyalkov
Vinicius Nogueira
Vinicius Nogueira
D. Duarte
D. Duarte
F. Kaloc
F. Kaloc
Erick Marcus
🎯
Erick Marcus
P. Stanic
P. Stanic
B. Tekpetey
B. Tekpetey
I. Chochev
I. Chochev
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
92
S. Vutsov
G
71
O. Kamdem
🟨 90+6'
D
50
K. Dimitrov
🟨 44'
D
4
C. Makoun
D
3
Maicon
D
47
A. Bouras
🟨 50'
M
70
G. Kostadinov
↓ 81'
M
99
R. Kirilov
↓ 81'
M
17
Everton Bala
↓ 90'
M
11
A. Oko-Flex
↓ 66'
M
45
M. Dugandzic
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
78
M. Lukov
G
8
C. Ohene
M
9
J. Perea
F
10
A. Mitkov
M
12
M. Sangare
↑ 66'
F
18
G. Trdin
↑ 81'
M
21
A. Neves
D
22
M. Soula
↑ 66'
M
31
N. Serafimov
↑ 81'
D
95
K. Fabien
↑ 90'
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
G
17
Son
D
55
I. Nachmias
D
3
A. Nedyalkov
D
27
Vinicius Nogueira
D
23
D. Duarte
M
26
F. Kaloc
↓ 63'
M
77
Erick Marcus
🎯 89' ↓ 90+8'
M
14
P. Stanic
⚽ 89'
M
37
B. Tekpetey
↓ 57' 🟨 28'
M
18
I. Chochev
🟨 47'
M
Substitutes
1
S. Padt
G
5
G. Terziev
↑ 90+8'
D
7
A. Salido Tajero
↑ 63'
F
29
E. Bile
↑ 57'
F
42
S. Shishkov
D
75
E. Syrov
76
K. Dimitrov
F
81
G. Penev
M
82
I. Yordanov
M
Last matches: Levski Sofia
22.07.26
UEF
Levski Sofia
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka
4
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Radnik Surdulica
5
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
23.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
6
0
W
19.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
25.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
15.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
Last matches: Ludogorets
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
H2H: Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets
13.05.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
05.03.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
11.02.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
03.02.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.02.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
03.04.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
5
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
03.06.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
3
2
L
28.02.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
Last matches: Levski Sofia
22.07.26
UEF
Levski Sofia
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka
4
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Radnik Surdulica
5
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
23.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
6
0
W
19.06.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
3
W
15.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fir
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Vihren
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
AS Trencin
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Vojvodina
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Levski Sofia
Nyiregyhaza
0
0
D
H2H at home: Levski Sofia
09.05.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
03.02.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
1
W
26.05.24
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
01.10.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
28.02.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
Last matches: Ludogorets
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Rangers
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
11.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Paks
3
2
W
19.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
4
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
23.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
4
5
L
23.10.25
UEF
Ludogorets
BSC Young Boys
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
H2H away: Ludogorets
09.05.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
03.02.26
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
2
1
L
26.05.24
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
L
01.10.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
W
28.02.23
H2H
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
0
D

Standings

A PFG: Championship Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 25 6 5 71:25 46 81
D W D L W
2 36 20 7 9 54:35 19 67
D W D L L
3 36 19 10 7 61:25 36 67
W L D W L
4 36 18 9 9 47:30 17 63
L L D W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)