BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
09.05.2026 15:45
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Referee: V. Mitrev
Levski Sofia
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Bernard Tekpetey
Ludogorets
🟨
44'
Kristian Dimitrov
Levski Sofia
🟨
47'
Ivajlo Chochev
Ludogorets
🟨
50'
Akram Bouras
Levski Sofia
🔄
57'
B. Tekpetey ↔ E. Bile
Ludogorets
🔄
63'
F. Kaloc ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Ludogorets
🔄
66'
M. Dugandzic ↔ M. Sangare
Levski Sofia
🔄
66'
A. Oko-Flex ↔ M. Soula
Levski Sofia
🔄
81'
G. Kostadinov ↔ G. Trdin
Levski Sofia
🔄
81'
R. Kirilov ↔ N. Serafimov
Levski Sofia
⚽
89'
P. Stanic · Assist: Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🟨
90+6'
Oliver Kamdem
Levski Sofia
🔄
90'
Everton Bala ↔ K. Fabien
Levski Sofia
🔄
90+8'
Erick Marcus ↔ G. Terziev
Ludogorets

Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Levski Sofia Win 69.1%
Draw 3.4%
Ludogorets Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levski Sofia1.5
Ludogorets1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WWDLW
73 GF / 31 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
83 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.66
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
27
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 40 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 50 matches
Levski Sofia Statistic Ludogorets
26 Wins 24
7 Draws 13
7 Losses 13
73 Goals For 83
31 Goals Against 50
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1
17 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 36
20 Over 2.5 27
12 Over 3.5 13
17 Clean Sheets 21
10 Failed To Score 13
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.11
9.5 Total Shots 12.17
4.11 Corners 4.68
38.7% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ludogorets. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ludogorets arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 76 points after 32 outings. The return of 24 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 68:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Everton Bala (17 goals), M. Sangare (9 goals), M. Petkov (7 goals), with creative support from M. Soula (8 assists), R. Kirilov (5 assists), Maicon Araujo dos Santos (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets sit 3 with 60 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 58:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Chochev (16 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), P. Stanic (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (9 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levski Sofia won 2 times, Ludogorets won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Levski Sofia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Levski Sofia wins 2, draws 5, Ludogorets wins 8

Standings

A PFG: Championship Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 25 6 5 71:25 46 81
D W D L W
2 36 20 7 9 54:35 19 67
D W D L L
3 36 19 10 7 61:25 36 67
W L D W L
4 36 18 9 9 47:30 17 63
L L D W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)