BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
02.05.2026 16:00
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Referee: K. Kolev
Levski Sofia
Match Timeline
CSKA 1948
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Dragan Grivić
CSKA 1948
🟥
55'
Adama Ardile Traoré
CSKA 1948
🔄
59'
B. Sobrero ↔ A. Hoffmann
CSKA 1948
🔄
61'
A. Oko-Flex ↔ M. Dugandzic
Levski Sofia
71'
M. Dugandzic
Levski Sofia
🔄
75'
R. Kirilov ↔ A. Neves
Levski Sofia
🔄
75'
G. Trdin ↔ C. Ohene
Levski Sofia
🔄
80'
M. Diallo ↔ Frederic
CSKA 1948
🔄
80'
F. Krebs ↔ M. Boychev
CSKA 1948
🔄
86'
E. Franco ↔ G. Rusev
CSKA 1948
🔄
90'
Everton Bala ↔ K. Fabien
Levski Sofia
🔄
90'
M. Soula ↔ G. Kostadinov
Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Levski Sofia Win 62.7%
Draw 0%
CSKA 1948 Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levski Sofia1.52
CSKA 19481.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WWDLW
72 GF / 31 GA
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WLDWL
52 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.68
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
17
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
18
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 39 matches
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 31 matches
Levski Sofia Statistic CSKA 1948
25 Wins 19
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
72 Goals For 52
31 Goals Against 32
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
17 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 8
16 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 7
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.75
9.76 Total Shots 9.57
4.22 Corners 4.07
39.8% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CSKA 1948. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CSKA 1948 look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levski Sofia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA 1948 in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA 1948 having the stronger overall control.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 73 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 23 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 67:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Everton Bala (17 goals), M. Sangare (9 goals), M. Petkov (7 goals), with creative support from M. Soula (8 assists), R. Kirilov (5 assists), Maicon Araujo dos Santos (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 62 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 52:32 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on M. Diallo (17 goals), A. Iliev (6 goals), E. Franco (6 goals), with creative support from Frederic (6 assists), G. Rusev (6 assists), B. Tsonev (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levski Sofia won 7 times, CSKA 1948 won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Levski Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1 / CSKA 1948 4-4-2
H2H summary: Levski Sofia wins 7, draws 5, CSKA 1948 wins 3

Standings

A PFG: Championship Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 25 6 5 71:25 46 81
D W D L W
2 36 20 7 9 54:35 19 67
D W D L L
3 36 19 10 7 61:25 36 67
W L D W L
4 36 18 9 9 47:30 17 63
L L D W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)