COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Leones FC
Match Timeline
Quindio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45+2'
F. Valencia
Quindio
🔄
46'
J. Montoya ↔ D. Moreno
Leones FC
54'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes
Leones FC
🟨
60'
T. Calle
Leones FC
🔄
64'
K. Penaloza ↔ S. Montoya
Leones FC
🔄
64'
T. Calle ↔ J. F. Hincapie Ossa
Leones FC
🔄
66'
J. Cordoba ↔ R. Angulo Satizabal
Quindio
🔄
66'
J. Parra ↔ J. Moreno
Leones FC
🔄
79'
A. F. Carabali R. ↔ M. Bacca
Quindio
🔄
79'
J. Lloreda ↔ J. Ibarguen
Quindio
🟨
86'
J. Ocampo
Quindio
🟨
87'
Leones FC
Leones FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds 2.57
BTTS
No
Probability 88%
Odds 1.60
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.4%
2.57
BTTS No
88%
1.60
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.41
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 16.1%
Draw 10.5%
Quindio Win 73.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.59
Quindio1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
9 GF / 24 GA
Quindio Quindio
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.56
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
5
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 16 matches
Quindio Quindio 22 matches
Leones FC Statistic Quindio
3 Wins 12
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 5
9 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 14
0.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
5 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Quindio's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quindio having the stronger overall control. Leones FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Quindio. Quindio carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 31 points while Leones FC sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 14 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 8:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 31 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 20:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 3 times, Quindio won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Leones FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 3, draws 4, Quindio wins 7
Last matches: Leones FC
24.07.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
25.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Popayan
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Soacha
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
4
L
05.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Cucuta
0
4
L
Last matches: Quindio
24.07.26
Pri
Quindio
Popayan
0
1
L
18.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Envigado
0
1
L
15.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Tigres FC
1
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Tigres FC
1
0
W
30.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Envigado
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Tigres FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Depor FC
2
1
W
01.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Orsomarso
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Bogota FC
2
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Real Soacha
0
0
D
12.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Patriotas
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Real Santander
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
24.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Envigado
2
1
W
17.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Barranquilla
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Ind. Yumbo
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
2
1
W
H2H: Leones FC vs Quindio
01.02.26
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
3
0
L
15.09.25
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
W
22.10.24
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
4
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
2
D
02.08.23
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.02.23
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
0
3
W
08.10.22
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
3
2
L
03.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
2
L
08.10.20
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
1
0
L
26.09.20
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.08.19
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
3
L
22.02.19
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
0
0
D
29.07.17
H2H
Quindio
Leones FC
1
2
W
Last matches: Leones FC
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Huila
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
04.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
19.07.25
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
1
L
17.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
3
0
W
05.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
1
3
L
26.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
06.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
W
25.03.25
Pri
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
1
W
H2H at home: Leones FC
06.04.25
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
2
D
02.08.23
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
03.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
2
L
26.09.20
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.08.19
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
3
L
Last matches: Quindio
18.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Envigado
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quindio
Tigres FC
1
0
W
30.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Tigres FC
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Quindio
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Bogota FC
2
0
W
12.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Patriotas
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pri
Quindio
Real Santander
2
1
W
24.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Envigado
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
2
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
Quindio
Popayan
1
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Quindio
Orsomarso
3
2
W
04.10.25
Pri
Quindio
Real Santander
1
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
Quindio
Real Soacha
1
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Quindio
Jaguares
0
2
L
18.08.25
Pri
Quindio
Patriotas
0
2
L
13.08.25
Pri
Quindio
Cucuta
2
2
D
01.08.25
Pri
Quindio
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
14.07.25
Pri
Quindio
Huila
1
2
L
18.05.25
Pri
Quindio
Real Cartagena
1
4
L
H2H away: Quindio
06.04.25
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
2
D
02.08.23
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
03.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
2
W
26.09.20
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
0
0
D
14.08.19
H2H
Leones FC
Quindio
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.57
Draw 2.81
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.36
Over 1.5 1.55
Over 1.75 1.74
Over 2.0 2.07
Over 2.25 2.43
Over 2.5 2.76
Over 2.75 3.37
Under 1.25 2.97
Under 1.5 2.35
Under 1.75 2.06
Under 2.0 1.76
Under 2.25 1.54
Under 2.5 1.41
Under 2.75 1.29
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.80
Home 2.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 1.91
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.93
Home 3.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 1.84
Home 5.03
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.42
Draw 2.15
Home 4.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.33
Over 1.5 1.51
Over 1.75 1.66
Over 2.0 1.88
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.49
Over 2.75 3.04
Over 3.0 4.15
Over 3.25 4.55
Over 3.5 4.95
Over 3.75 6.96
Over 4.0 8.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.10
Under 0.75 5.45
Under 1.0 4.80
Under 1.25 3.04
Under 1.5 2.39
Under 1.75 2.10
Under 2.0 1.75
Under 2.25 1.54
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 2.75 1.29
Under 3.0 1.16
Under 3.25 1.13
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.90
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 1.93
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.45
Over 3.5 4.40
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14

Standings

Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 1 1 0 6:2 4 4
D W
2 2 1 1 0 5:3 2 4
D W
3 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
D W
5 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
D W
6 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
10 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
11 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
D L
12 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
D L
13 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
14 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
D L
16 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L