Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.6%
|
1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.02 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.6%
|
1.30 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
17 matches
Universidad Catolica
20 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 18 | Goals For | 33 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.76 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 9.06 | Total Shots | 12.37 |
| 3.29 | Corners | 4.47 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Leones del Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Universidad Catolica. Universidad Catolica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Universidad Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Universidad Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Leones del Norte sit 13 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Leones del Norte are currently 13 in the standings with 17 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), Segundo Portocarrero (1 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Segundo Portocarrero (1 assists), Darío Pazmiño (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Universidad Catolica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 26 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 26:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Byron Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), Eddy Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (5 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), Byron Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 0 times, Universidad Catolica won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|