Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
13 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
13 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 10 | Goals For | 16 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.69 | Shots On Goal | 3.38 |
| 8.69 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 3.62 | Corners | 4.31 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Mushuc Runa SC's more proactive style and Leones del Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mushuc Runa SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Leones del Norte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Leones del Norte approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:14 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Anangono (3 goals), E. Griffa (2 goals), E. Pepinos (2 goals), with creative support from E. Pepinos (1 assists), Segundo Portocarrero (1 assists), A. Aguas (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Mushuc Runa SC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (4 goals), F. Castelli (2 goals), Freddy Mina (2 goals), with creative support from K. Velasco (3 assists), Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), Freddy Mina (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 1 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Leones del Norte
6
5
9
2
2
5
Lineups
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas