ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
22.04.2026 16:00
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Leones del Norte
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
J. Anangono · Assist: M. De La Cruz
Leones del Norte
⚽
30'
J. Anangono
Leones del Norte
🟨
42'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC
🟨
45+1'
Charles Vélez
Leones del Norte
🔄
46'
J. Mina ↔ A. Medina
Manta FC
🔄
46'
B. Ramirez ↔ J. Troya
Manta FC
⚽
47'
C. Solano · Assist: D. Pazmino
Leones del Norte
🔄
55'
F. Asagidigbi ↔ J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
56'
M. Ortiz ↔ J. Rialpe
Manta FC
🔄
63'
C. Solano ↔ A. Mansilla
Leones del Norte
🔄
63'
D. Pazmino ↔ M. Caramuto
Leones del Norte
🔄
66'
J. Alman ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🟨
68'
Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
Manta FC
🟥
70'
Agustin Mansilla
Leones del Norte
🔄
76'
S. Portocarrero ↔ A. Aguas
Leones del Norte
🔄
76'
C. Velez ↔ E. Pepinos
Leones del Norte
🟨
78'
Jose Enrique Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
80'
J. Anangono ↔ Caicedo Nestor
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte vs Manta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
51%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leones del Norte Win 25.4%
Draw 34.8%
Manta FC Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones del Norte0.71
Manta FC0.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
WWDLW
4 GF / 10 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
2 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.44
Average Goals Scored
0.22
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
3
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
2.56
Shots on Goal
2.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 9 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 9 matches
Leones del Norte Statistic Manta FC
1 Wins 1
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
4 Goals For 2
10 Goals Against 10
0.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.22
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 7
2.56 Shots On Goal 2.44
9 Total Shots 9.33
3.22 Corners 4.78
42.9% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manta FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Manta FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control.

Leones del Norte Analysis

Leones del Norte sit 14 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Pepinos (2 goals), E. Griffa (1 goals), J. Anangono (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pepinos (1 assists), A. Mansilla (1 assists), Jairo Mairongo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 2:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 3 times, Manta FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Leones del Norte 5-3-2 / Manta FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Leones del Norte wins 3, draws 1, Manta FC wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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