Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
74.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
51%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1%
|
- |
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
9 matches
Manta FC
9 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 4 | Goals For | 2 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 0.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.22 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 2.56 | Shots On Goal | 2.44 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 9.33 |
| 3.22 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 42.9% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manta FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Manta FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control.
Leones del Norte sit 14 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Pepinos (2 goals), E. Griffa (1 goals), J. Anangono (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pepinos (1 assists), A. Mansilla (1 assists), Jairo Mairongo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Manta FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 2:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 2 times, Manta FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Leones del Norte
3
4
2
4
3
4
Lineups
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Manta FC
Libertad
Manta FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Emelec
Manta FC
Macara
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Libertad
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 26 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Manta FC
Away
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
W
L
D
L
D
|