Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
11 matches
Emelec
11 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 8 | Goals For | 9 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.82 | Shots On Goal | 3.18 |
| 8.82 | Total Shots | 10.09 |
| 3.64 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Emelec. Leones del Norte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Leones del Norte sit 14 with 10 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Anangono (3 goals), E. Pepinos (2 goals), Cristhian Solano (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pepinos (1 assists), A. Mansilla (1 assists), D. Pazmino (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 9:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), I. Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), A. Mina (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 1 times, Emelec won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Leones del Norte
3
2
6
7
1
1
Lineups
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
Emelec
Away
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|