Leones del Norte vs Emelec H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsLeones del Norte vs Emelec Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.4%
|
2.00 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
2.48 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
32 matches
Emelec
32 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 32 | Goals For | 28 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.94 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 11.09 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 4.31 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emelec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Leones del Norte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Emelec in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Leones del Norte sit 8 with 39 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Luis Anangonó León (6 goals), D. Pazmiño (3 goals), C. Solano (3 goals), with creative support from R. Arroyo (3 assists), D. Pazmiño (2 assists), Elián Pepinós (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 39 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Klimowicz (6 goals), J. Ruíz (3 goals), I. Guerrico (2 goals), with creative support from Luis Fragozo (3 assists), F. Pizzini (3 assists), A. Mina (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 1 times, Emelec won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Emelec
Away
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|