Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 44.3%
Draw 13.2%
Monterrey Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.71
Monterrey2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
28 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
5.75
Shots on Goal
6.38
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
8 matches
Monterrey
12 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 17 | Goals For | 28 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 6.38 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 15.75 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 4 times, Monterrey won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Leon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 4, draws 4, Monterrey wins 7
Last matches: Leon
18.08.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
Last matches: Monterrey
16.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
6
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
W
H2H: Leon vs Monterrey
15.02.26
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
1
0
L
12.08.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
21.04.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
2
L
11.11.24
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
2
1
L
20.04.24
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
2
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
3
1
L
28.02.23
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
5
1
L
02.03.22
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
0
1
W
11.03.21
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
1
1
D
04.08.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
09.02.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
3
1
W
04.08.19
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
3
2
L
12.01.19
H2H
Monterrey
Leon
2
2
D
Last matches: Leon
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H at home: Leon
12.08.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
21.04.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
2
0
W
28.02.23
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
1
D
02.03.22
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
0
D
04.08.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
09.02.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
3
1
W
Last matches: Monterrey
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
1
1
D
17.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
5
1
W
14.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
2
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlas
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Leones Negros UDG
3
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
2
3
L
29.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
4
L
26.10.25
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
H2H away: Monterrey
12.08.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
W
21.04.25
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
2
0
L
28.02.23
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
1
D
02.03.22
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
0
0
D
04.08.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
L
09.02.20
H2H
Leon
Monterrey
3
1
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Monterrey
Away
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)