Leon
Match Timeline
Monterrey
Leon vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 44.3%
Draw 13.2%
Monterrey Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.71
Monterrey2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
28 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
5.75
Shots on Goal
6.38
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
8 matches
Monterrey
12 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 17 | Goals For | 28 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 6.38 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 15.75 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 5 times, Monterrey won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Leon's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 5, draws 3, Monterrey wins 7
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Monterrey
Away
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 12 |
Leon
Home
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:21 | -18 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)