MEXICO › LIGA MX
22.04.2026 03:06
Estadio Leon
Referee: C. A. Ramos
Leon
Match Timeline
Club America
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
B. Rodriguez · Assist: I. Reyes
Club America
⚽
12'
E. Sanchez · Assist: C. Borja
Club America
⚽
37'
D. Cambindo · Assist: R. Echeverria
Leon
🟨
42'
Valentin Gauthier
Leon
🟨
45+5'
Nicolás Vallejo
Leon
⚽
45'
F. Beltran Cruz · Assist: N. Vallejo
Leon
🔄
46'
F. Beltran Cruz ↔ D. Arcila
Leon
🔄
46'
N. Vallejo ↔ E. Rodriguez
Leon
🔄
46'
I. Violante ↔ K. Alvarez
Club America
🔄
65'
B. Rodriguez ↔ P. Salas
Club America
🔄
65'
Raphael Veiga ↔ Lima
Club America
🔄
72'
D. Cambindo ↔ R. Funes Mori
Leon
🔄
73'
J. dos Santos ↔ Rodrigo Dourado
Club America
VAR
75'
Rodrigo Dourado
Club America
⚽
77'
A. Zendejas
Club America
🔄
80'
R. Echeverria ↔ A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
87'
A. Zendejas ↔ A. Cervantes
Club America
🔄
90+1'
S. Reyes ↔ J. Cortizo
Leon

Leon vs Club America Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 46.4%
Draw 14.5%
Club America Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.03
Club America1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
33 GF / 56 GA
Club America Club America
WLDWL
52 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
16
4.34
Shots on Goal
5.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 32 matches
Club America Club America 34 matches
Leon Statistic Club America
10 Wins 17
5 Draws 8
17 Losses 9
33 Goals For 52
56 Goals Against 35
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
16 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 7
4.34 Shots On Goal 5.12
13.03 Total Shots 14.5
4.81 Corners 5.74
52% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Club America's more proactive style and Leon's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Leon come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leon expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Club America in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club America having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Club America.

Leon Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Leon have collected 22 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Diaz (10 goals), D. Arcila (4 goals), J. Rodriguez (3 goals), with creative support from I. Diaz (5 assists), I. Moreno (5 assists), J. Rodriguez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club America Analysis

So far, Club America have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Rodriguez (12 goals), A. Zendejas (8 goals), R. Aguirre (5 goals), with creative support from B. Rodriguez (6 assists), A. Zendejas (6 assists), I. Violante (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 2 times, Club America won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from Leon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-3-3 / Club America 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 2, draws 6, Club America wins 7

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon Home
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs