MEXICO LIGA MX
02.08.2026 01:00
Estadio Leon
Referee: H. Gomez
Leon
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Fernando Beltrán
Leon
🟨
32'
Juan Guevara
Leon
🟨
34'
Oussama Idrissi
CF Pachuca
🟨
37'
Sebastián Vegas
Leon
41'
D. Arcila
Leon
🟨
52'
Francisco Venegas
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
F. Beltran Cruz ↔ D. Cambindo
Leon
🔄
57'
F. Venegas ↔ M. Isais
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
N. Vallejo ↔ G. Alvarez
CF Pachuca
🟥
62'
Christian Rivera
CF Pachuca
VAR
62'
Christian Rivera
CF Pachuca
🔄
64'
R. Pizarro ↔ A. Bautista
CF Pachuca
🔄
69'
D. Arcila ↔ L. Valadez
Leon
🔄
69'
E. Guerra ↔ J. Lara
Leon
🟨
75'
Eduardo Bauermann
CF Pachuca
🔄
75'
S. Rondon ↔ A. Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🔄
75'
O. Idrissi ↔ A. Dominguez
CF Pachuca
🟨
82'
Rodrigo Echeverría
Leon
🟨
82'
Carlos Moreno
CF Pachuca
🟨
84'
Sergio Barreto
CF Pachuca
🟨
87'
Adrián Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🟨
90+2'
Alan Mozo
CF Pachuca
🔄
90'
I. Moreno ↔ B. Colula
Leon

Leon vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 41.1%
Draw 11.8%
CF Pachuca Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.8
CF Pachuca2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
2.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 6 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 3 matches
Leon Statistic CF Pachuca
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
14 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 3
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 4
13.5 Total Shots 14
8 Corners 2.5
53.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 7 times, CF Pachuca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Leon's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 7, draws 3, CF Pachuca wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12
Leon Home
7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)