MEXICO LIGA MX
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
1.30
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 41.1%
Draw 11.8%
CF Pachuca Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon2.08
CF Pachuca2.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
2.33
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 5 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 3 matches
Leon Statistic CF Pachuca
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
14 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 3
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 4
13.5 Total Shots 14
8 Corners 2.5
53.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 7 times, CF Pachuca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Leon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 7, draws 3, CF Pachuca wins 5
Last matches: Leon
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
14.01.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
Last matches: CF Pachuca
27.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
0
W
H2H: Leon vs CF Pachuca
14.01.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
2
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
06.02.25
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
08.02.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
3
2
L
11.07.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
4
0
W
04.02.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
22.08.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
0
L
23.01.22
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
4
0
L
19.01.21
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
12.08.20
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
W
26.01.20
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
3
0
W
20.07.19
H2H
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
3
W
05.05.19
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
Last matches: Leon
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.08.25
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
20.07.25
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
H2H at home: Leon
23.08.25
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
11.07.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
4
0
W
04.02.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
23.01.22
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
19.01.21
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
26.01.20
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
3
0
W
05.05.19
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
Last matches: CF Pachuca
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
2
L
23.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
1
D
10.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
0
W
H2H away: CF Pachuca
23.08.25
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
11.07.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
4
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
1
W
23.01.22
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
L
19.01.21
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
0
0
D
26.01.20
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
3
0
L
05.05.19
H2H
Leon
CF Pachuca
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.33
Draw 3.39
Home 3.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.33
Home 3.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.32
Over 3.25 2.62
Over 3.5 2.89
Over 4.5 5.30
Under 1.5 4.04
Under 2.25 2.41
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 4.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 3.30
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.30
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.50
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 3.34
Home 2.99
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.84
Draw 2.11
Home 3.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.53
Draw 2.52
Home 3.24
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 1.94
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.28
Over 4.0 4.33
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.05
Over 4.75 6.35
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 9.50
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 10.60
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 5.09
Under 1.5 3.74
Under 1.75 3.34
Under 2.0 2.96
Under 2.25 2.34
Under 2.5 2.01
Under 2.75 1.82
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.43
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 3.30
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.23
Home 3.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.65
Home 3.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 1.90
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.50
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 3.75 3.35
Over 4.5 5.20
Over 5.5 9.50
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.20
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:3 2 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
6 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
7 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
D L
14 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:5 -2 1
D L
16
Leon Home
2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L