22.05.2026 19:00
FT
3 - 1
Stade de France
Referee: J. Brisard
Lens
Match Timeline
Nice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
F. Thauvin · Assist: M. Udol
Lens
🟨
36'
Saud Abdulhamid
Lens
42'
O. Edouard · Assist: F. Thauvin
Lens
45'
D. Coulibaly · Assist: J. Clauss
Nice
🔄
64'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ W. Said
Lens
🔄
65'
O. Edouard ↔ A. Sima
Lens
🔄
66'
M. Cho ↔ K. Boudache
Nice
🔄
67'
D. Coulibaly ↔ M. Sanson
Nice
🔄
67'
S. Diop ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🔄
77'
F. Thauvin ↔ F. Sotoca
Lens
78'
A. Sima
Lens
🔄
79'
M. Bard ↔ Kevin
Nice
🔄
79'
Dante ↔ T. Louchet
Nice
🟨
85'
Kojo Peprah Oppong
Nice
🟨
90+3'
Matthieu Udol
Lens
🟨
90+2'
Morgan Sanson
Nice

Lens vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lens Win 71.8%
Draw 0%
Nice Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lens1.94
Nice1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lens Lens
WWDLW
82 GF / 41 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
52 GF / 83 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
21
BTTS Yes
28
27
Over 2.5
25
5.85
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lens Lens 39 matches
Nice Nice 49 matches
Lens Statistic Nice
26 Wins 11
5 Draws 13
8 Losses 25
82 Goals For 52
41 Goals Against 83
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
21 BTTS Yes 28
33 Over 1.5 38
27 Over 2.5 25
14 Over 3.5 17
13 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 17
5.85 Shots On Goal 3.65
16.64 Total Shots 11.37
6.36 Corners 5.31
52.3% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lens won 4 times, Nice won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Lens's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lens 3-4-3 / Nice 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lens wins 4, draws 3, Nice wins 8