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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Leicester
FT
1 - 2
Watford
King Power Stadium
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Leicester
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
J. James · Assist: J. Ayew
Leicester
🟨
19'
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Leicester
🟨
42'
Oliver Skipp
Leicester
⚽
45'
O. Maamma · Assist: I. Louza
Watford
🟨
48'
Imrân Louza
Watford
🟨
61'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
🟨
63'
Stephy Mavididi
Leicester
⚽
65'
M. Pollock · Assist: I. Louza
Watford
🔄
66'
T. Ince ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
69'
S. Mavididi ↔ J. Monga
Leicester
🔄
75'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ A. Ramsey
Leicester
🔄
81'
O. Maamma ↔ M. Sissoko
Watford
🔄
81'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
87'
O. Skipp ↔ H. Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
87'
R. Pereira ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
90+1'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ J. Morris
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.35
Watford1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
31 GF / 31 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
12
3.95
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 22 matches
Watford Watford 22 matches
Leicester Statistic Watford
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 8
7 Losses 6
31 Goals For 31
31 Goals Against 28
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
3.95 Shots On Goal 4.91
12.18 Total Shots 14.18
5.18 Corners 4.45
53.2% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 9 times, Watford won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:14 from Leicester's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leicester wins 9, draws 2, Watford wins 4
Stats
Leicester Leicester
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 6
14 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
458 Total passes 448
387 Passes accurate 382
0.43 expected_goals 1.40
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leicester
Formation
Watford
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
R. Pereira
↓
R. Pereira
C. Okoli
C. Okoli
B. Nelson
B. Nelson
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
J. James
⚽
J. James
O. Skipp
↓
O. Skipp
I. Fatawu
I. Fatawu
B. De Cordova-Reid
↓
B. De Cordova-Reid
S. Mavididi
↓
S. Mavididi
J. Ayew
🎯
J. Ayew
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
M. Pollock
⚽
M. Pollock
M. Alleyne
M. Alleyne
M. Bola
M. Bola
O. Maamma
⚽ ↓
O. Maamma
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
I. Louza
🎯
I. Louza
T. Ince
↓
T. Ince
G. Chakvetadze
↓
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓
L. Kjerrumgaard
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
21
R. Pereira
↓ 87'
D
5
C. Okoli
D
4
B. Nelson
D
33
L. Thomas
D
6
J. James
⚽ 7'
M
22
O. Skipp
↓ 87' 🟨 42'
M
7
I. Fatawu
🟨 19'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
↓ 75'
M
10
S. Mavididi
↓ 69' 🟨 63'
M
9
J. Ayew
🎯 7'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Begovic
G
3
W. Faes
D
56
O. Aluko
D
17
H. Choudhury
↑ 87'
M
25
L. Page
M
39
S. Thomas
↑ 87'
F
30
A. Ramsey
↑ 75'
M
28
J. Monga
↑ 69'
M
18
J. Carranza
F
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
D
6
M. Pollock
⚽ 65'
D
3
M. Alleyne
D
16
M. Bola
D
42
O. Maamma
⚽ 45' ↓ 81'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
🟨 61'
M
10
I. Louza
🎯 45' 🎯 65' 🟨 48'
M
7
T. Ince
↓ 66'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 90+1'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
4
K. Keben
D
17
M. Sissoko
↑ 81'
M
18
V. Semedo
↑ 81'
F
22
J. Morris
↑ 90+1'
D
23
N. Mendy
M
29
J. Petris
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
66
N. Irankunda
↑ 66'
F
Last matches: Leicester
15.08.26
Lea
Leicester
Notts County
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
H2H: Leicester vs Watford
21.03.26
H2H
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
26.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Watford
1
2
L
10.02.24
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
5
W
08.01.22
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
2
W
20.06.20
H2H
Watford
Leicester
1
1
D
04.12.19
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
03.03.19
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L
01.12.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
20.01.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
26.12.17
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L
06.05.17
H2H
Leicester
Watford
3
0
W
19.11.16
H2H
Watford
Leicester
2
1
L
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
10.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
3
4
L
31.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Oxford United
1
2
L
05.01.26
Cha
Leicester
West Brom
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
L
18.10.25
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
1
1
D
H2H at home: Leicester
26.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Watford
1
2
L
25.11.23
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
08.01.22
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
2
W
04.12.19
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
01.12.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
20.01.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
W
06.05.17
H2H
Leicester
Watford
3
0
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
26.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Watford
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
08.01.22
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
1
L
28.11.21
H2H
Leicester
Watford
4
2
L
04.12.19
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
01.12.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
20.01.18
H2H
Leicester
Watford
2
0
L
06.05.17
H2H
Leicester
Watford
3
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester Home
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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