ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
21.04.2026 18:45
King Power Stadium
Referee: T. Kirk
Leicester
Match Timeline
Hull City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
L. Millar
Hull City
🟨
34'
Luke Thomas
Leicester
🟨
35'
Ryan Giles
Hull City
🔄
46'
M. Belloumi ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
⚽
52'
J. James
Leicester
⚽
54'
L. Thomas · Assist: B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester
🔄
61'
J. James ↔ H. Winks
Leicester
⚽
63'
O. McBurnie · Assist: L. Millar
Hull City
🟨
70'
Oliver Skipp
Leicester
🔄
72'
L. Millar ↔ R. Slater
Hull City
🔄
72'
J. Lundstram ↔ Y. Hirakawa
Hull City
🔄
76'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ S. Mavididi
Leicester
🔄
76'
O. Skipp ↔ A. Ramsey
Leicester
🔄
82'
J. Gelhardt ↔ K. Joseph
Hull City
🟨
85'
Ivor Pandur
Hull City
🟨
86'
Harry Winks
Leicester
🔄
90+4'
D. Mukasa ↔ J. Ayew
Leicester
🔄
90+4'
R. Pereira ↔ H. Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
90'
R. Giles ↔ P. McNair
Hull City

Leicester vs Hull City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 17.3%
Draw 21.6%
Hull City Win 61.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.34
Hull City1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
57 GF / 67 GA
Hull City Hull City
WLDWL
65 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
32
BTTS Yes
27
25
Over 2.5
28
4.09
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 45 matches
Hull City Hull City 45 matches
Leicester Statistic Hull City
12 Wins 20
14 Draws 10
19 Losses 15
57 Goals For 65
67 Goals Against 65
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
32 BTTS Yes 27
39 Over 1.5 34
25 Over 2.5 28
12 Over 3.5 17
6 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 10
4.09 Shots On Goal 4
12.71 Total Shots 11.31
5.24 Corners 4.53
52.5% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hull City's more proactive style and Leicester's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Hull City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 69 points while Leicester sit 23 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hull City.

Leicester Analysis

Leicester approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 41 points from 43 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 54:64, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. James (10 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with V. Kristiansen, A. Ramsey unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Hull City Analysis

Hull City are currently 6 in the standings with 69 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 64:60 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Gelhardt (14 goals), Oliver McBurnie (14 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with R. Slater, C. Drameh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 5 times, Hull City won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Leicester's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Hull City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Leicester 3, Hull City 3
H2H summary: Leicester wins 5, draws 5, Hull City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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