ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
King Power Stadium
Referee: B. Toner
Leicester
Match Timeline
Burton Albion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
M. Dennis · Assist: K. Lofthouse
Burton Albion
🟨
17'
C. Tilt
Burton Albion
25'
K. Chauke
Burton Albion
🟥
29'
O. Skipp
Leicester
🔄
34'
L. Cullen ↔ H. Choudhury
Leicester
42'
W. Burns
Leicester
🔄
54'
W. Burns ↔ H. Howell
Leicester
🔄
55'
A. Bristric ↔ B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester
🔄
55'
W. Alves ↔ T. Watson
Leicester
🟨
63'
S. Krubally
Burton Albion
🔄
64'
S. Krubally ↔ W. Collar
Burton Albion
🔄
70'
M. Dennis ↔ E. Adiele
Burton Albion
🟨
74'
K. Lofthouse
Burton Albion
🔄
77'
L. Thomas ↔ L. Page
Leicester
🟨
81'
G. Bowyer
Burton Albion
🟨
83'
B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.3%
1.14
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 50.8%
Draw 18.5%
Burton Albion Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.52
Burton Albion0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WLDWL
3 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
2
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 7 matches
Burton Albion Burton Albion 6 matches
Leicester Statistic Burton Albion
4 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 2
13 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 6
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
2 Shots On Goal 2
11 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 2
69% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 4 times, Burton Albion won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Leicester's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-1-4-1 / Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Leicester wins 4, draws 1, Burton Albion wins 1
Stats
Leicester Leicester
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 4
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
588 Total passes 215
502 Passes accurate 146
1.10 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leicester
Formation
Burton Albion
Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy
Olabade Aluko
Olabade Aluko
Caleb Okoli
Caleb Okoli
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp
Wes Burns
Wes Burns
Sammy Braybrooke
Sammy Braybrooke
Liam Cullen
Liam Cullen
William Alves
William Alves
Admir Bristrić
Admir Bristrić
Corey Addai
Corey Addai
Toby Sibbick
Toby Sibbick
Finn Delap
Finn Delap
Curtis Tilt
Curtis Tilt
Kyran Lofthouse
🎯
Kyran Lofthouse
George Evans
George Evans
Sulyman Krubally
Sulyman Krubally
Jack Armer
Jack Armer
Kgagelo Chauke
Kgagelo Chauke
Charlie Webster
Charlie Webster
Matthew Dennis
Matthew Dennis
Leicester 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
29
Alex McCarthy
G
32
Olabade Aluko
D
5
Caleb Okoli
D
15
Harry Souttar
D
33
Luke Thomas
↓ 77'
D
22
Oliver Skipp
🟥 29'
M
7
Wes Burns
⚽ 42' ↓ 54'
M
36
Sammy Braybrooke
M
11
Liam Cullen
↓ 34'
M
37
William Alves
↓ 55'
M
9
Admir Bristrić
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
17
Hamza Choudhury
↑ 34'
M
20
Harry Howell
↑ 54'
F
23
Tom Watson
↑ 55'
F
14
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
↑ 55' 🟨 83'
F
25
Louis Page
↑ 77'
M
1
Jakub Stolarczyk
G
18
Christian McFarlane
D
Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
34
Corey Addai
G
6
Toby Sibbick
D
26
Finn Delap
D
16
Curtis Tilt
🟨 17'
D
15
Kyran Lofthouse
🎯 5' 🟨 74'
M
12
George Evans
M
41
Sulyman Krubally
↓ 64' 🟨 63'
M
3
Jack Armer
M
4
Kgagelo Chauke
⚽ 25'
F
8
Charlie Webster
F
19
Matthew Dennis
⚽ 5' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
14
Will Collar
↑ 64'
M
23
Emeka Adeile
↑ 70'
D
27
Kamil Dudek
G
24
Harvey Araujo
D
20
Jason Sraha
D
40
Zac Scutt
F
28
Millar Matthews-Lewis
F
Last matches: Leicester
15.08.26
Lea
Leicester
Notts County
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
Last matches: Burton Albion
15.08.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
H2H: Leicester vs Burton Albion
18.07.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
W
09.08.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
2
W
24.07.21
H2H
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
0
D
29.10.19
H2H
Burton Albion
Leicester
1
3
W
05.01.13
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
0
W
28.08.12
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
4
L
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
10.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
3
4
L
31.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Oxford United
1
2
L
05.01.26
Cha
Leicester
West Brom
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Watford
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
L
H2H at home: Leicester
05.01.13
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
0
W
28.08.12
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
4
L
Last matches: Burton Albion
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Luton
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Port Vale
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
1
2
L
22.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Lincoln
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Burton Albion
Boreham Wood
5
0
W
04.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Plymouth
0
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
2
2
D
08.12.25
FA
Burton Albion
Brackley Town
3
1
W
02.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
H2H away: Burton Albion
05.01.13
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
0
L
28.08.12
H2H
Leicester
Burton Albion
2
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.38
Draw 4.24
Home 1.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.65
Draw 2.49
Home 2.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.46
Over 3.5 2.74
Over 4.5 5.09
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 2.25 2.59
Under 2.5 2.18
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.71
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 4.20
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.40
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.39
Draw 4.15
Home 1.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.32
Home 2.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.78
Home 1.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.31
Over 3.5 2.57
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.94
Over 4.25 4.30
Over 4.5 4.65
Over 4.75 5.79
Over 5.0 8.10
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 13.70
Under 1.0 10.00
Under 1.25 5.61
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.62
Under 2.0 3.24
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 2.75 1.92
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 4.20
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.40
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.85
Home 1.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.35
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 4.5 1.16

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:3 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
8 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 3:4 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two