ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 13:00
Elland Road

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds1.56
Manchester United1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds Leeds
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Manchester United Manchester United
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
3
BTTS Yes
6
1
Over 2.5
6
3.33
Shots on Goal
7.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leeds Leeds 6 matches
Manchester United Manchester United 10 matches
Leeds Statistic Manchester United
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 3
10 Goals For 22
3 Goals Against 14
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
3 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 9
1 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
3.33 Shots On Goal 7.25
11 Total Shots 22.25
4.33 Corners 6
41.3% Ball Possession 61.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 1 times, Manchester United won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:27 from Leeds's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Leeds 3-4-2-1 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leeds wins 1, draws 5, Manchester United wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:2 5 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:1 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
D W W
4 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W
5 3 1 2 0 5:2 3 5
D D W
6 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
W D D
7 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
D W D
8 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
D D W
9
Leeds Home
3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D D W
10 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
11 3 1 1 1 7:6 1 4
D W L
12 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
D W L
13 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L L W
15 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
D D L
16 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
17 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
19 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:5 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship