11.09.2026 21:30
Referee: D. Lopez
2 de Mayo
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Nestor Gimenez
Libertad Asuncion
43'
César Gregorio Ramírez Perdesen
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
45'
Marcelo Gonzalez ↔ Matías Moya
2 de Mayo
🔄
45'
Marcos Gómez ↔ Tobías Gabriel Portillo Ávalos
2 de Mayo
🟨
59'
César Gregorio Ramírez Perdesen
2 de Mayo
🔄
60'
Ó. Romero ↔ Daniel Angel Aguilera
2 de Mayo
VAR
63'
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
65'
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
67'
Ivan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira ↔ Gustavo Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
67'
Rodrigo Villalba ↔ Marcelo Fernández
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
68'
Alexis Villalba ↔ Tobias Cervera
2 de Mayo
🔄
72'
F. Cáceres ↔ Alan Gómez
2 de Mayo
🔄
75'
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez ↔ Christian Iván Martínez Giménez
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
81'
Ivan Franco
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
82'
F. Cáceres
2 de Mayo
🟥
82'
F. Cáceres
2 de Mayo
🟨
85'
Alberto Espinola
2 de Mayo
🔄
86'
Federico Carrizo ↔ Agustín Manzur
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
86'
Ivan Franco ↔ Luciano Nequecaur
Libertad Asuncion
89'
Luciano Nequecaur
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
90+1'
Alvaro Campuzado
Libertad Asuncion

2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds 3.90
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.13
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
3.90
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.13
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.33
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
2 de Mayo Win 53.8%
Draw 13.8%
Libertad Asuncion Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2 de Mayo1.12
Libertad Asuncion1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WWDLW
34 GF / 44 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
54 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
17
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
19
2.86
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 35 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 37 matches
2 de Mayo Statistic Libertad Asuncion
12 Wins 15
13 Draws 5
10 Losses 17
34 Goals For 54
44 Goals Against 50
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
17 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 11
2.86 Shots On Goal 4.54
10.14 Total Shots 12.73
3.37 Corners 4.68
46.7% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Libertad Asuncion. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 21 points after 9 matches. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 12:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ó. Romero (2 goals), F. Cáceres (2 goals), Á. Aguilera (1 goals), with creative support from Ó. Romero (1 assists), F. Cáceres (1 assists), Á. Aguilera (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Libertad Asuncion approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 19 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Vera (4 goals), A. Manzur (2 goals), A. Benítez (1 goals), with creative support from A. Benítez (2 assists), I. Ramirez (2 assists), Á. Campuzano (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, Libertad Asuncion won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from 2 de Mayo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: 2 de Mayo 4-1-4-1 / Libertad Asuncion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: 2 de Mayo wins 3, draws 3, Libertad Asuncion wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 11 4 1 6 12:20 -8 13
W L L D W
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 11 2 1 8 13:24 -11 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)