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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
30.08.2026 13:00
Elland Road
Referee: Tony Harrington, England
Leeds
Match Timeline
Brentford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Jaidon Anthony
Brentford
🔄
34'
J. Rodon ↔ N. Elvedi
Leeds
⚽
41'
K. Schade · Assist: K. Lewis-Potter
Brentford
🔄
46'
B. Aaronson ↔ H. Wilson
Leeds
🔄
46'
J. Bijol ↔ A. Tanaka
Leeds
🔄
61'
J. Anthony ↔ D. Ouattara
Brentford
🔄
68'
J. Bogle ↔ D. James
Leeds
🔄
69'
N. Okafor ↔ L. Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
69'
M. Damsgaard ↔ Y. Yarmolyuk
Brentford
🟨
74'
Kristoffer Ajer
Brentford
🟨
76'
Vitaly Janelt
Brentford
⚽
79'
D. Calvert-Lewin · Assist: L. Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
88'
K. Lewis-Potter ↔ R. Henry
Brentford
🔄
88'
K. Schade ↔ A. Hickey
Brentford
🔄
88'
M. Kayode ↔ C. Wilson
Brentford
🟨
90+3'
Nathan Collins
Brentford

Leeds vs Brentford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 68.4%
Draw 4%
Brentford Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds1.47
Brentford2.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds Leeds
WWDLW
8 GF / 1 GA
Brentford Brentford
WLDWL
14 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
4.67
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leeds Leeds 4 matches
Brentford Brentford 3 matches
Leeds Statistic Brentford
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
8 Goals For 14
1 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 4.67
0.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 8
11 Total Shots 26
2 Corners 7
45% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 4 times, Brentford won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Leeds's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Leeds 3-4-2-1 / Brentford 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Leeds 4, Brentford 2
H2H summary: Leeds wins 4, draws 7, Brentford wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7
Leeds Home
6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship