POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
20.04.2026 17:00
Polsat Plus Arena
Referee: P. Raczkowski
Lechia Gdansk
Match Timeline
Piast Gliwice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
23'
Ema Twumasi
Piast Gliwice
🟥
24'
Ema Twumasi
Piast Gliwice
🔄
28'
O. Lesniak ↔ F. Borowski
Piast Gliwice
🟨
31'
Igor Drapiński
Piast Gliwice
🔄
46'
T. Wojtowicz ↔ B. Kludka
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
46'
K. Sezonienko ↔ A. Tsarenko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
46'
J. Lokilo ↔ J. Czerwinski
Piast Gliwice
🔄
62'
T. Neugebauer ↔ B. Viunnyk
Lechia Gdansk
63'
I. Zhelizko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
67'
G. Tomasiewicz ↔ H. Vallejo
Piast Gliwice
🟨
73'
Patryk Dziczek
Piast Gliwice
🔄
76'
J. Felix ↔ A. Katsantonis
Piast Gliwice
🔄
76'
L. Sanca ↔ S. Mucha
Piast Gliwice
VAR
82'
Juande Rivas
Piast Gliwice
🟨
83'
Matej Rodin
Lechia Gdansk
85'
P. Dziczek
Piast Gliwice
🟨
88'
Jakub Czerwinski
Piast Gliwice
🔄
90+5'
M. Vojtko ↔ M. Kalahur
Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Lechia Gdansk Win 68.4%
Draw 0%
Piast Gliwice Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lechia Gdansk1.72
Piast Gliwice1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
WWDLW
55 GF / 51 GA
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
WLDWL
34 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
20
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
15
5.39
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 28 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 28 matches
Lechia Gdansk Statistic Piast Gliwice
12 Wins 10
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 13
55 Goals For 34
51 Goals Against 38
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
20 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 20
20 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 9
5.39 Shots On Goal 3.89
13.64 Total Shots 14.64
4.93 Corners 5.43
49.3% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Lechia Gdansk's more proactive style and Piast Gliwice's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Piast Gliwice arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lechia Gdansk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Piast Gliwice in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Piast Gliwice having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Piast Gliwice. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

Lechia Gdansk are currently 9 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 55:51 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Bobcek (15 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (5 goals), with creative support from T. Bobcek (6 assists), Camilo Mena (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Piast Gliwice Analysis

Piast Gliwice approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 35 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 34:36 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Jirka (6 goals), G. Barkovskiy (4 goals), J. Felix (4 goals), with creative support from J. Felix (3 assists), Patryk Dziczek (3 assists), Igor Drapiński (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lechia Gdansk won 8 times, Piast Gliwice won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Lechia Gdansk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lechia Gdansk 4-2-3-1 / Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
H2H summary: Lechia Gdansk wins 8, draws 3, Piast Gliwice wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation