POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Polsat Plus Arena
Referee: D. Sylwestrzak
Lechia Gdansk
Match Timeline
Legia Warszawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Nsame · Assist: K. Chodyna
Legia Warszawa
🟨
32'
Kacper Chodyna
Legia Warszawa
🟨
43'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
61'
T. Neugebauer ↔ A. Tsarenko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
61'
E. Krasniqi ↔ R. Adamski
Legia Warszawa
🔄
61'
R. Vinagre ↔ W. Urbanski
Legia Warszawa
🔄
61'
J. Zewlakow ↔ S. Kovacik
Legia Warszawa
63'
T. Bobcek · Assist: C. Mena
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
72'
J. Nsame ↔ A. Colak
Legia Warszawa
🟨
73'
Tomáš Bobček
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
81'
B. Kapustka ↔ D. Szymanski
Legia Warszawa
🟨
87'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🟥
87'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
88'
K. Sezonienko ↔ M. Dyachuk
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
89'
Rafał Augustyniak
Legia Warszawa
🟨
90'
Matej Rodin
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
90'
Jan Leszczyński
Legia Warszawa
90'
A. Colak
Legia Warszawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lechia Gdansk Win 46.8%
Draw 10.6%
Legia Warszawa Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lechia Gdansk1.59
Legia Warszawa1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
WWDLW
59 GF / 60 GA
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WLDWL
58 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
24
BTTS Yes
28
23
Over 2.5
22
5.38
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 46 matches
Lechia Gdansk Statistic Legia Warszawa
12 Wins 17
7 Draws 15
13 Losses 14
59 Goals For 58
60 Goals Against 56
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
24 BTTS Yes 28
30 Over 1.5 32
23 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 9
5.38 Shots On Goal 3.72
14.09 Total Shots 12.72
5.03 Corners 4.8
50% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Legia Warszawa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lechia Gdansk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lechia Gdansk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Legia Warszawa in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

With 38 points from 32 games and a place of 16, Lechia Gdansk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 59:60, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through T. Bobcek (17 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (7 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), with creative support from T. Bobcek (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), Camilo Mena (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

So far, Legia Warszawa have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 36:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Rajovic (6 goals), R. Adamski (4 goals), Antonio Čolak (2 goals), with creative support from Bartosz Kapustka (2 assists), Ermal Krasniqi (2 assists), J. Elitim (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lechia Gdansk won 2 times, Legia Warszawa won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Lechia Gdansk's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Lechia Gdansk 4-2-3-1 / Legia Warszawa 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lechia Gdansk wins 2, draws 4, Legia Warszawa wins 9
Stats
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
470 Total passes 275
373 Passes accurate 186
1.03 expected_goals 1.53
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lechia Gdansk
Formation
Legia Warszawa
A. Paulsen
A. Paulsen
T. Wojtowicz
T. Wojtowicz
B. Pllana
B. Pllana
M. Rodin
M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
M. Vojtko
C. Mena
🎯
C. Mena
R. Kapic
R. Kapic
I. Zhelizko
I. Zhelizko
K. Sezonienko
K. Sezonienko
T. Neugebauer
T. Neugebauer
T. Bobcek
T. Bobcek
O. Hindrich
O. Hindrich
K. Piatkowski
K. Piatkowski
R. Augustyniak
R. Augustyniak
J. Leszczynski
J. Leszczynski
K. Chodyna
🎯
K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
B. Kapustka
J. Elitim
J. Elitim
R. Vinagre
R. Vinagre
E. Krasniqi
E. Krasniqi
J. Nsame
J. Nsame
J. Zewlakow
J. Zewlakow
Lechia Gdansk 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
18
A. Paulsen
G
33
T. Wojtowicz
D
4
B. Pllana
D
80
M. Rodin
🟨 90'
D
27
M. Vojtko
D
11
C. Mena
🎯 63'
M
10
R. Kapic
M
5
I. Zhelizko
🟨 43' 🟨 87' 🟥 87'
M
79
K. Sezonienko
↓ 88'
M
99
T. Neugebauer
↓ 61'
F
89
T. Bobcek
⚽ 63' 🟨 73'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Sarnavskyi
G
1
S. Weirauch
G
23
M. Kalahur
D
21
M. Glogowski
F
2
B. Kludka
D
17
A. Tsarenko
↑ 61'
M
15
M. Dyachuk
↑ 88'
D
77
D. Sinkiewicz
F
Legia Warszawa 3-4-3
Starting XI
89
O. Hindrich
G
91
K. Piatkowski
D
8
R. Augustyniak
🟨 89'
D
56
J. Leszczynski
🟨 90'
D
11
K. Chodyna
🎯 11' 🟨 32'
M
67
B. Kapustka
↓ 81'
M
22
J. Elitim
M
19
R. Vinagre
↓ 61'
M
77
E. Krasniqi
↓ 61'
F
18
J. Nsame
⚽ 11' ↓ 72'
F
20
J. Zewlakow
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Tobiasz
G
14
A. Colak
⚽ 90' ↑ 72'
F
44
D. Szymanski
↑ 81'
M
9
R. Adamski
↑ 61'
F
6
H. Arreiol
M
53
W. Urbanski
↑ 61'
M
99
S. Kovacik
↑ 61'
F
55
A. Jedrzejczyk
D
82
K. Urbanski
M
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
18.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Randers FC
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
1
3
L
04.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
20.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
4
2
W
21.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
06.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
27.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
23.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
15.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
06.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
31.01.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Mladost Lucani
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Hradec Králové
1
2
L
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
24.07.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Aris
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
AS Trencin
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Nürnberg II
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Bayern München II
2
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
10.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
01.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
0
4
L
17.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Riga
3
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
01.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
H2H: Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa
17.05.26
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
22.11.25
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
2
D
21.04.25
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
06.07.24
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
L
20.05.23
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
0
W
08.11.22
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
04.11.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
L
02.04.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
L
03.10.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
3
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
L
25.04.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
05.12.20
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
L
15.07.20
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
18.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Randers FC
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
5
L
25.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
20.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
4
2
W
21.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
06.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
23.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
06.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Mladost Lucani
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Hradec Králové
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
05.12.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Gornik Zabrze
5
2
W
29.11.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
5
1
W
08.11.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
03.11.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
2
L
03.10.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
12.09.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
2
0
W
H2H at home: Lechia Gdansk
17.05.26
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
18.10.24
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
20.05.23
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
0
W
08.11.22
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
03.10.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
3
1
W
25.04.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
15.07.20
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
24.07.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Nürnberg II
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Bayern München II
2
0
W
10.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
0
4
L
06.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
01.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
13.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
07.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
FC Noah
1
2
L
06.12.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice
0
2
L
01.12.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
06.11.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
Celje
1
2
L
02.11.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
19.10.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
L
05.10.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
3
L
20.09.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
31.08.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
2
L
H2H away: Legia Warszawa
17.05.26
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
W
18.10.24
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
2
W
20.05.23
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
0
L
08.11.22
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
03.10.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
3
1
L
25.04.21
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
1
W
15.07.20
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation