POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
17.05.2026 15:30
Polsat Plus Arena
Referee: D. Sylwestrzak
Lechia Gdansk
Match Timeline
Legia Warszawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
J. Nsame · Assist: K. Chodyna
Legia Warszawa
🟨
32'
Kacper Chodyna
Legia Warszawa
🟨
43'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
61'
T. Neugebauer ↔ A. Tsarenko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
61'
E. Krasniqi ↔ R. Adamski
Legia Warszawa
🔄
61'
R. Vinagre ↔ W. Urbanski
Legia Warszawa
🔄
61'
J. Zewlakow ↔ S. Kovacik
Legia Warszawa
⚽
63'
T. Bobcek · Assist: C. Mena
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
72'
J. Nsame ↔ A. Colak
Legia Warszawa
🟨
73'
Tomáš Bobček
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
81'
B. Kapustka ↔ D. Szymanski
Legia Warszawa
🟨
87'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🟥
87'
Ivan Zhelyzko
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
88'
K. Sezonienko ↔ M. Dyachuk
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
89'
Rafał Augustyniak
Legia Warszawa
🟨
90'
Matej Rodin
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
90'
Jan Leszczyński
Legia Warszawa
⚽
90'
A. Colak
Legia Warszawa

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lechia Gdansk Win 46.8%
Draw 10.6%
Legia Warszawa Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lechia Gdansk1.59
Legia Warszawa1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
WWDLW
59 GF / 60 GA
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WLDWL
58 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
24
BTTS Yes
28
23
Over 2.5
22
5.38
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 46 matches
Lechia Gdansk Statistic Legia Warszawa
12 Wins 17
7 Draws 15
13 Losses 14
59 Goals For 58
60 Goals Against 56
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
24 BTTS Yes 28
30 Over 1.5 32
23 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 9
5.38 Shots On Goal 3.72
14.09 Total Shots 12.72
5.03 Corners 4.8
50% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Legia Warszawa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lechia Gdansk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lechia Gdansk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Legia Warszawa in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

With 38 points from 32 games and a place of 16, Lechia Gdansk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 59:60, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through T. Bobcek (17 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (7 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), with creative support from T. Bobcek (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), Camilo Mena (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

So far, Legia Warszawa have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 36:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Rajovic (6 goals), R. Adamski (4 goals), Antonio Čolak (2 goals), with creative support from Bartosz Kapustka (2 assists), Ermal Krasniqi (2 assists), J. Elitim (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lechia Gdansk won 2 times, Legia Warszawa won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Lechia Gdansk's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Lechia Gdansk 4-2-3-1 / Legia Warszawa 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lechia Gdansk wins 2, draws 4, Legia Warszawa wins 9

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation