Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
44.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 44.5%
Draw 16.9%
Jagiellonia Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan1.65
Jagiellonia1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan
WWDLW
26 GF / 9 GA
Jagiellonia
WLDWL
20 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
5
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
7.43
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lech Poznan
12 matches
Jagiellonia
14 matches
| Lech Poznan | Statistic | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 26 | Goals For | 20 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.43 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 15.86 | Total Shots | 8.4 |
| 7.43 | Corners | 2.8 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 7 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Jagiellonia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 7, draws 4, Jagiellonia wins 4
Last matches: Lech Poznan
14.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
5
0
W
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
01.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
Last matches: Jagiellonia
13.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
1
1
D
09.08.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
06.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
2
1
W
31.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Łomża
1
0
W
25.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pafos
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Polessya
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
4
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
H2H: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
04.04.26
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
16.03.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
2
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
2
W
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
W
12.11.22
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
2
W
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
24.09.21
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
17.10.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
2
1
L
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
W
28.02.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
Last matches: Lech Poznan
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
29.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Žilina
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lech Poznan
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
W
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
W
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
W
Last matches: Jagiellonia
13.08.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rangers
1
1
D
31.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Polessya
0
0
D
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
06.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
0
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
4
2
W
14.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
31.01.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
3
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Lask Linz
1
4
L
18.12.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
14.12.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
07.12.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Nieciecza
1
2
L
30.11.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
09.11.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Shkendija
1
1
D
H2H away: Jagiellonia
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
L
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
L
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
L
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
W
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
L
Standings
Ekstraklasa
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
Home
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Jagiellonia
Away
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation