Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Jagiellonia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan1.6
Jagiellonia1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan
WWDLW
15 GF / 5 GA
Jagiellonia
WLDWL
14 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
7
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lech Poznan
7 matches
Jagiellonia
9 matches
| Lech Poznan | Statistic | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 14 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.78 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 62% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 7 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Jagiellonia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 7, draws 4, Jagiellonia wins 4
Last matches: Lech Poznan
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
Last matches: Jagiellonia
25.07.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pafos
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Polessya
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
4
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
17.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
06.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
0
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
4
2
W
H2H: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
04.04.26
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
16.03.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
2
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
2
W
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
W
12.11.22
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
2
W
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
24.09.21
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
17.10.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
2
1
L
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
W
28.02.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
Last matches: Lech Poznan
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Žilina
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Lausanne
2
0
W
23.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
4
1
W
02.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
2
2
D
H2H at home: Lech Poznan
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
W
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
W
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
W
Last matches: Jagiellonia
17.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Polessya
0
0
D
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
06.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
0
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
4
2
W
14.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
31.01.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
3
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Lask Linz
1
4
L
18.12.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
14.12.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
07.12.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Nieciecza
1
2
L
30.11.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
09.11.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Shkendija
1
1
D
26.10.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Strasbourg
1
1
D
H2H away: Jagiellonia
28.09.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
5
0
L
24.10.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
3
D
27.05.23
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
0
L
28.06.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
1
L
19.03.22
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
3
W
19.07.20
H2H
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
4
0
L
Standings
Ekstraklasa
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 |
Jagiellonia
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 9 |
Lech Poznan
Home
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
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