Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lech Poznan
47 matches
Arka Gdynia
30 matches
| Lech Poznan | Statistic | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 9 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 87 | Goals For | 31 |
| 64 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 32 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 5.49 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 15.4 | Total Shots | 10.43 |
| 4.96 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Arka Gdynia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Arka Gdynia. Arka Gdynia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Lech Poznan arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 55 points compared to Arka Gdynia in 17 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lech Poznan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Arka Gdynia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arka Gdynia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lech Poznan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 55 points after 31 outings. The return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 56:41, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Ishak (15 goals), Luis Palma (7 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (6 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), J. Pereira (5 assists), Ali Gholizadeh (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 34 points from 30 games and a place of 17, Arka Gdynia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 31:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. D. Espiau Hernandez (5 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 2 times, Arka Gdynia won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.
Lech Poznan
7
2
12
4
7
1
Lineups
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Arka Gdynia
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Arka Gdynia
Gangwon FC
Arka Gdynia
Csikszereda
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
Lech Poznan
Žilina
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
Lausanne
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Rapid Vienna
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
Home
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
Away
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|