Lech Poznan
Match Timeline
Aarhus
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 60.6%
Draw 4.4%
Aarhus Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan1.8
Aarhus1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan
WWDLW
15 GF / 5 GA
Aarhus
WLDWL
23 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.3
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
7
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lech Poznan
7 matches
Aarhus
10 matches
| Lech Poznan | Statistic | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 15 | Goals For | 23 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.3 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 7 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 1 times, Aarhus won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Aarhus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 1, draws 0, Aarhus wins 1
Stats
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Lech Poznan
Formation
Aarhus
M. Lis
R. Gumny
W. Monka
T. Yegbe
M. Gurgul
R. Murawski
A. Kozubal
P. Walemark
P. Rodriguez
L. Palma
M. Ishak
M. Hedenstad
J. Jensen-Abbew
F. Tingager
E. Kahl
M. Anderson
M. Knudsen
J. Jonsson
F. Emmery
T. Bech
K. Arnstad
J. Bogere
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Lis
G
20
R. Gumny
D
↓ 81'
27
W. Monka
D
59
T. Yegbe
D
15
M. Gurgul
D
22
R. Murawski
M
↓ 98'
43
A. Kozubal
M
🟨 40'
10
P. Walemark
M
↓ 87'
21
P. Rodriguez
M
↓ 81'
77
L. Palma
M
↓ 68'
9
M. Ishak
F
↓ 88'
Substitutes
41
B. Mrozek
G
35
M. Pruchniewski
G
4
J. Moutinho
D
7
Y. Agnero
F
↑ 88'
🟨 105+1'
90
H. Janyszka
D
24
F. Jagiello
M
⚽ 95'
↑ 81'
2
J. Pereira
D
↑ 81'
17
A. Sayyadmanesh
M
↑ 68'
11
D. Hakans
M
↑ 87'
72
M. Skrzypczak
D
23
G. Thordarson
M
↑ 98'
Aarhus
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
M. Hedenstad
G
40
J. Jensen-Abbew
D
↓ 60'
5
F. Tingager
D
⚽ 75'
19
E. Kahl
D
🎯 75'
↓ 90+3'
23
M. Anderson
M
↓ 97'
🟨 86'
4
M. Knudsen
M
16
J. Jonsson
M
↓ 70'
39
F. Emmery
M
↓ 97'
🟨 91'
31
T. Bech
F
⚽ 32'
🎯 100'
10
K. Arnstad
⚽ 55'
🎯 32'
28
J. Bogere
F
↓ 70'
🟨 45'
Substitutes
41
O. Lyhne
G
42
M. van der Raad
G
29
R. Carstensen
D
↑ 70'
45
C. Storch
D
↑ 60'
13
J. Serra
F
↑ 97'
8
S. Jorgensen
M
27
S. Tchamche
F
↑ 70'
22
O. Haugstrup
46
H. Sengooba
D
20
T. Kristjansson
F
⚽ 100'
↑ 97'
43
Z. Grantzau
D
44
M. Camara
D
↑ 90+3'
🟨 107'
Last matches: Lech Poznan
27.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
2
2
D
20.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
7
0
W
14.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
5
0
W
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
01.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
Last matches: Aarhus
27.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Benfica
1
3
L
23.08.26
Sup
Aarhus
Odense
2
2
D
20.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Benfica
1
3
L
14.08.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
1
2
L
11.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Sabah FA
0
4
L
05.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Sabah FA
2
1
W
01.08.26
Sup
Aarhus
Lyngby
2
2
D
25.07.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
1
1
D
21.07.26
UEF
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
15.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
AC Horsens
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
05.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Motherwell
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Aarhus
Viborg
1
1
D
17.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
6
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
2
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
0
0
D
23.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
20.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
2
L
10.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
H2H: Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
29.07.26
H2H
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
21.07.26
H2H
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
1
4
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
20.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
7
0
W
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Žilina
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lech Poznan
29.07.26
H2H
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
Last matches: Aarhus
20.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Benfica
1
3
L
14.08.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
1
2
L
11.08.26
UEF
Aarhus
Sabah FA
0
4
L
01.08.26
Sup
Aarhus
Lyngby
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
2
0
W
23.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
20.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
2
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Vejle
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Fredericia
1
1
D
26.01.26
Fri
Aarhus
IF Elfsborg
2
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Aarhus
Hobro
3
2
W
07.12.25
Sup
Aarhus
Randers FC
2
1
W
21.11.25
Sup
Aarhus
Silkeborg
2
0
W
03.11.25
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
1
D
19.10.25
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
3
3
D
28.09.25
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
14.09.25
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
2
1
W
H2H away: Aarhus
29.07.26
H2H
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
W