WORLD UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
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Stadion Poznan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
1.71
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 60.6%
Draw 4.4%
Aarhus Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan1.8
Aarhus1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WWDLW
15 GF / 5 GA
Aarhus Aarhus
WLDWL
23 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.3
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
7
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 matches
Aarhus Aarhus 10 matches
Lech Poznan Statistic Aarhus
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
15 Goals For 23
5 Goals Against 13
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
7 Shots On Goal 3.5
17.5 Total Shots 12
5.5 Corners 7
57.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 1 times, Aarhus won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Aarhus 3-4-3
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 1, draws 0, Aarhus wins 0
Last matches: Lech Poznan
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
Last matches: Aarhus
25.07.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
1
1
D
21.07.26
UEF
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
15.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
AC Horsens
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
05.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Motherwell
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Aarhus
Viborg
1
1
D
17.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
6
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
2
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
0
0
D
23.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
20.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
2
L
10.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
06.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Vejle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
5
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Fredericia
1
1
D
09.02.26
Sup
Aarhus
Odense
2
1
W
H2H: Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
21.07.26
H2H
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
1
4
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Žilina
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Lausanne
2
0
W
23.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
4
1
W
02.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
2
2
D
Last matches: Aarhus
11.07.26
Fri
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
2
0
W
23.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
20.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
2
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Aarhus
Vejle
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Aarhus
FC Fredericia
1
1
D
26.01.26
Fri
Aarhus
IF Elfsborg
2
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Aarhus
Hobro
3
2
W
07.12.25
Sup
Aarhus
Randers FC
2
1
W
21.11.25
Sup
Aarhus
Silkeborg
2
0
W
03.11.25
Sup
Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
1
1
D
19.10.25
Sup
Aarhus
Brondby
3
3
D
28.09.25
Sup
Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
2
1
W
14.09.25
Sup
Aarhus
Viborg
2
1
W
18.08.25
Sup
Aarhus
Odense
5
1
W
08.08.25
Sup
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen
3
2
W
20.07.25
Sup
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.42
Draw 3.73
Home 1.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.65
Draw 2.41
Home 2.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 2.75 1.92
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.50
Over 3.5 2.76
Under 2.0 3.21
Under 2.25 2.47
Under 2.5 2.09
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.70
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.62
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.73
Draw 3.84
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.22
Home 2.22
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.45
Draw 2.65
Home 1.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.68
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.25 4.64
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 4.75 6.39
Over 5.0 9.10
Over 5.5 9.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.10
Under 1.0 9.50
Under 1.25 5.46
Under 1.5 3.94
Under 1.75 3.54
Under 2.0 3.12
Under 2.25 2.46
Under 2.5 2.09
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.75
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.40
Home 2.12
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.70
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.90
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.48
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 3.75 3.30
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.5 4.80
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.32
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.57
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.5 1.13