Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Lecce
Genoa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lecce
39 matches
Genoa
40 matches
| Lecce | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 11 |
| 21 | Losses | 17 |
| 29 | Goals For | 47 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 20 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 2.49 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 9.56 | Total Shots | 11.58 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 41.2% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lecce expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Genoa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 35 points from 37 games and a place of 17, Lecce still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 27:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lameck Banda (4 goals), Nikola Štulić (4 goals), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals), with creative support from Lameck Banda (4 assists), Antonino Gallo (4 assists), M. Berisha (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Marchwiński unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 41 points from 37 games and a place of 14, Genoa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats with a 41:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lecce
4
1
5
5
0
2
Lineups
Lecce
Sassuolo
Lecce
Juventus
Lecce
Pisa
Lecce
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Fiorentina
Lecce
Bologna
Lecce
Atalanta
Lecce
AS Roma
Lecce
Napoli
Lecce
Cremonese
Lecce
Como
Lecce
Inter
Lecce
Cagliari
Lecce
Udinese
Lecce
Torino
Lecce
Lazio
Lecce
AC Milan
Lecce
Inter
Lecce
Parma
Lecce
AS Roma
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Pisa
Lecce
Juventus
Lecce
Fiorentina
Lecce
Atalanta
Lecce
Cremonese
Lecce
Inter
Lecce
Udinese
Lecce
Lazio
Lecce
Parma
Lecce
AS Roma
Lecce
Como
Lecce
Pisa
Lecce
Torino
Lecce
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Napoli
Lecce
Sassuolo
Lecce
Bologna
Lecce
Cagliari
Lecce
AC Milan
Lecce
Juve Stabia
Lecce
Torino
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Bologna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Home
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|