Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Lecce
Genoa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lecce
39 matches
Genoa
40 matches
| Lecce | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 11 |
| 21 | Losses | 17 |
| 29 | Goals For | 47 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 20 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 2.49 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 9.56 | Total Shots | 11.58 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 41.2% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lecce expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Genoa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 35 points from 37 games and a place of 17, Lecce still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 27:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lameck Banda (4 goals), Nikola Štulić (4 goals), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals), with creative support from Lameck Banda (4 assists), Antonino Gallo (4 assists), M. Berisha (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Marchwiński unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 41 points from 37 games and a place of 14, Genoa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats with a 41:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 2 times, Genoa won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Lecce's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Home
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|