FRANCE LIGUE 1
05.09.2026 18:45
Stade Océane
Referee: Marc Bollengier, France
Le Havre
Match Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
Le Havre
12'
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
22'
Kenny Lala ↔ Luc Zogbé
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
39'
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
🟥
45+2'
Junior Mwanga
Le Havre
🔄
46'
Rassoul Ndiaye ↔ Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
51'
Kamory Doumbia · Assist: Mama Baldé
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
62'
Timothee Pembele ↔ Enzo Koffi
Le Havre
🔄
62'
Josh Maja ↔ Rayan Fofana
Le Havre
🔄
67'
Mama Baldé ↔ Noah Edjouma
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
Hugo Magnetti ↔ Joseph Nonge
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
Pathé Mboup ↔ Giovani Versini
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
Kamory Doumbia ↔ Lucas Tousart
Stade Brestois 29
79'
Rayan Fofana
Le Havre
🔄
79'
Elias Jelert ↔ Djibril Ouziad
Le Havre
🔄
90'
Lionel Mpasi Nzau ↔ Gauthier Gallon
Le Havre

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.2%
1.44
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.04
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.32
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Le Havre Win 30.8%
Draw 28.6%
Stade Brestois 29 Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Havre1.4
Stade Brestois 291.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Havre Le Havre
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WLDWL
13 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Havre Le Havre 8 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 matches
Le Havre Statistic Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
8 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 7
13.5 Total Shots 26.5
6 Corners 8.5
46.5% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre won 3 times, Stade Brestois 29 won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Le Havre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.4%)
Predicted formations: Le Havre 3-4-2-1 / Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Le Havre 4, Stade Brestois 29 4
H2H summary: Le Havre wins 3, draws 4, Stade Brestois 29 wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
7 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
8 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
9 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
L W D D
10 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
W L D D
11 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
12 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
13 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
14 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
15 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
16 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 1:5 -4 2
L D L D
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