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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.09.2026 18:45
Stade Océane
Referee: Marc Bollengier, France
Le Havre
Match Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
Le Havre
⚽
12'
K. Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
22'
K. Lala ↔ L. Zogbe
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
39'
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
🟥
45+2'
Junior Mwanga
Le Havre
🔄
46'
R. Ndiaye ↔ S. Nakamura
Le Havre
⚽
51'
K. Doumbia · Assist: M. Balde
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
62'
J. Maja ↔ R. Fofana
Le Havre
🔄
62'
T. Pembele ↔ E. K. Vinette
Le Havre
🔄
67'
M. Balde ↔ N. Edjouma
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
H. Magnetti ↔ J. Nonge
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
K. Doumbia ↔ L. Tousart
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
P. Mboup ↔ G. Versini
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
79'
E. Jelert ↔ D. Ouziad
Le Havre
⚽
79'
R. Fofana
Le Havre
🔄
90+4'
L. Mpasi-Nzau ↔ G. Gallon
Le Havre

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Le Havre Win 30.8%
Draw 28.6%
Stade Brestois 29 Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Havre1.4
Stade Brestois 291.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Havre Le Havre
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WLDWL
13 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Havre Le Havre 8 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 matches
Le Havre Statistic Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
8 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 7
13.5 Total Shots 26.5
6 Corners 8.5
46.5% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre won 3 times, Stade Brestois 29 won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Le Havre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.4%)
Predicted formations: Le Havre 3-4-2-1 / Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Le Havre 4, Stade Brestois 29 4
H2H summary: Le Havre wins 3, draws 4, Stade Brestois 29 wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13 6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16 6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation