ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: R. Cabrera
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Tecnico Universitario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Luis Estupiñan
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
14'
Wagner Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
VAR
32'
Michael Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
37'
Jonathan Majao
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
45+6'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
45'
B. Delgado · Assist: L. Estupinan
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
46'
L. Segovia ↔ L. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
50'
M. Estrada · Assist: J. Quintero
LDU de Quito
🔄
63'
C. Luna Tobar ↔ G. Villamil
LDU de Quito
🔄
63'
L. Estupinan ↔ J. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
63'
B. Delgado ↔ C. Arteaga
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
71'
Deyverson ↔ J. Medina
LDU de Quito
🔄
71'
J. Pretell ↔ R. Redes
LDU de Quito
🟨
72'
Wagner Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🟥
72'
Wagner Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
82'
Johan Bocanegra ↔ K. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
86'
J. Quintero ↔ A. Alvarado
LDU de Quito
🔄
88'
J. Majao ↔ J. Montes
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
90+5'
Fernando Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🟨
90+7'
Yorlin Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
90+2'
Andres Copete
Tecnico Universitario
90'
A. Copete
LDU de Quito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 62.3%
Draw 4.8%
Tecnico Universitario Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.07
Tecnico Universitario0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WLDWL
13 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
3.24
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 18 matches
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 14 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Tecnico Universitario
9 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 8
20 Goals For 13
16 Goals Against 14
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 6
3.24 Shots On Goal 4.62
12.35 Total Shots 13.85
4.53 Corners 5.46
46.6% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tecnico Universitario. Tecnico Universitario arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

LDU de Quito Analysis

So far, LDU de Quito have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Deyverson (4 goals), J. Corozo (3 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), with creative support from M. Estrada (2 assists), Deyverson (1 assists), C. Luna Tobar (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 14 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 13:13, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Julian Anaya (3 goals), Cesar Castano (2 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Yorlin Arce (3 assists), Cesar Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 13 times, Tecnico Universitario won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:9 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 3-4-3 / Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 13, draws 1, Tecnico Universitario wins 1
Stats
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
2
13 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 0
10 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 1
9 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
518 Total passes 210
445 Passes accurate 143
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Formation
Tecnico Universitario
G. Valle
G. Valle
J. Quintero
🎯
J. Quintero
G. F. Allala Menendez
G. F. Allala Menendez
R. Ade
R. Ade
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
Y. Quinonez
Y. Quinonez
F. Cornejo
F. Cornejo
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
C. Luna Tobar
C. Luna Tobar
Deyverson
Deyverson
M. Estrada
M. Estrada
S. Razzeto
S. Razzeto
J. Anaya
J. Anaya
A. Copete
A. Copete
Y. Arce
Y. Arce
E. E. Mesa Mercado
E. E. Mesa Mercado
M. Castano
M. Castano
J. Majao
J. Majao
L. Estupinan
🎯
L. Estupinan
Johan Bocanegra
Johan Bocanegra
W. Caicedo
W. Caicedo
B. Delgado
B. Delgado
LDU de Quito 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
14
J. Quintero
🎯 50' ↓ 86'
D
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
D
4
R. Ade
D
44
L. Segovia
↓ 46'
D
23
Y. Quinonez
D
20
F. Cornejo
🟨 90+5'
M
8
J. Pretell
↓ 71' 🟨 45+6'
M
99
C. Luna Tobar
↓ 63'
M
16
Deyverson
↓ 71'
F
11
M. Estrada
⚽ 50'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Dominguez
G
10
A. Alvarado
↑ 86'
M
15
G. Villamil
↑ 63'
M
21
E. Castillo
M
27
R. Mina
5
K. Minda
M
9
J. Medina
↑ 71'
F
33
L. Quinonez
↑ 46'
D
7
R. Redes
↑ 71'
F
24
J. Calle
M
32
A. Gomez
26
J. Caicedo
D
Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
S. Razzeto
13
J. Anaya
D
27
A. Copete
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+2'
D
85
Y. Arce
🟨 90+7'
D
23
E. E. Mesa Mercado
M
70
M. Castano
M
33
J. Majao
↓ 88' 🟨 37'
M
7
L. Estupinan
🎯 45' ↓ 63' 🟨 -5'
M
10
Johan Bocanegra
↓ 82'
F
90
W. Caicedo
🟨 14' 🟨 72' 🟥 72'
F
25
B. Delgado
⚽ 45' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Morales
G
30
K. Arce
↑ 82'
D
67
M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
M
17
J. Montes
↑ 88'
F
8
M. Chaves
F
6
L. B. Torres Nazareno
D
9
L. Fernandez
F
16
J. Caicedo
↑ 63'
M
11
C. Arteaga
↑ 63'
F
19
A. Castillo
F
53
R. Chilla
M
Last matches: LDU de Quito
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
H2H: LDU de Quito vs Tecnico Universitario
15.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
3
W
31.05.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
3
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
09.11.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
0
2
W
19.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
27.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
0
1
W
21.12.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
27.09.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
0
5
W
24.08.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
0
2
W
06.04.19
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
Last matches: LDU de Quito
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
4
2
W
H2H at home: LDU de Quito
15.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
19.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
27.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
21.12.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
06.04.19
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
H2H away: Tecnico Universitario
15.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
3
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
19.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
L
27.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
21.12.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
W
06.04.19
H2H
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs