Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
28 matches
Leones del Norte
19 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 20 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.42 |
| 13.92 | Total Shots | 11.26 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 3.74 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Leones del Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Leones del Norte in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leones del Norte having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones del Norte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
LDU de Quito come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 28 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Leones del Norte sit 9 with 23 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 19:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), Segundo Portocarrero (1 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Segundo Portocarrero (1 assists), D. Pazmiño (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 2 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
LDU de Quito
7
6
9
8
1
5
Lineups
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Macara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 7 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|