Lazio
Match Timeline
AC Milan
Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
48.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 48.9%
Draw 14.7%
AC Milan Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio2.17
AC Milan1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio
WWDLW
24 GF / 8 GA
AC Milan
WLDWL
12 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lazio
9 matches
AC Milan
7 matches
| Lazio | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 24 | Goals For | 12 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 16.25 | Total Shots | 12.67 |
| 6.25 | Corners | 2.33 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 5 times, AC Milan won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Lazio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lazio 7, AC Milan 0
H2H summary: Lazio wins 5, draws 1, AC Milan wins 9
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lazio
Home
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Away
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation