ITALY SERIE A
13.09.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio2.25
AC Milan1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
22 GF / 7 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
1.83
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
2.67
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 8 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 6 matches
Lazio Statistic AC Milan
7 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
22 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 9
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.67 Shots On Goal 4.5
15.33 Total Shots 17.5
5.67 Corners 3
52.3% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 5 times, AC Milan won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Lazio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lazio wins 5, draws 1, AC Milan wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
2 2 2 0 0 8:0 8 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
7
Lazio Home
2 2 0 0 2:0 2 6
W W
8 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
9 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
14 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
15 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L
16 2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
20 3 0 0 3 1:7 -6 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation