Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
47.1%
|
3.90 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.67 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.3%
|
1.32 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
15.00 |
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lanus
36 matches
Velez Sarsfield
31 matches
| Lanus | Statistic | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 14 |
| 13 | Losses | 3 |
| 39 | Goals For | 41 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 4.18 |
| 12.68 | Total Shots | 11.89 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Velez Sarsfield. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Lanus sit 6 with 24 points after 16 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Valois (4 goals), F. Peña (3 goals), A. Wlk (3 goals), with creative support from E. Salvio (3 assists), Y. Valois (1 assists), C. Izquierdoz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Velez Sarsfield arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 28 points after 16 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 18:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Florián Monzón (3 goals), M. Lanzini (2 goals), D. Valdés (1 goals), with creative support from D. Valdés (2 assists), Elías Gómez (2 assists), M. Pellegrini (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 5 times, Velez Sarsfield won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Lanus's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
Away
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Lanus
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
D
|