Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lanus
25 matches
San Lorenzo
19 matches
| Lanus | Statistic | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 4 |
| 26 | Goals For | 21 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 10.06 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Lanus's more proactive style and San Lorenzo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lanus expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and San Lorenzo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Lorenzo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 16 matches, Lanus have collected 24 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dylan Aquino (5 goals), Marcelino Moreno (3 goals), C. Izquierdoz (2 goals), with creative support from Ramiro Carrera (3 assists), E. Salvio (3 assists), R. Castillo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, San Lorenzo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Cuello (4 goals), G. Rodriguez (2 goals), L. Vietto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Cuello (3 assists), Facundo Gulli (3 assists), M. De Ritis (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 7 times, San Lorenzo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:22 from Lanus's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lanus
9
5
8
7
5
0
Lineups
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Banfield
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
Platense
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
Mirassol
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
Always Ready
Lanus
Banfield
Lanus
Platense
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Sarmiento de La Banda
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Lanus
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Away
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
L
W
D
W
|