Lahti vs Mariehamn Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.8%
|
1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.72 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.30 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Lahti
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
26 matches
Mariehamn
26 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 4 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 15 |
| 33 | Goals For | 22 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.05 | Shots On Goal | 1.4 |
| 6.15 | Total Shots | 4.3 |
| 2.55 | Corners | 2.2 |
| 28.1% | Ball Possession | 24.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lahti's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Mariehamn in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. Lahti arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 32 points compared to Mariehamn in 12 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mariehamn.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 32 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 26:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Mariehamn have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 22 matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 17:43 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), A. Stroud (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Home
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
L
|