FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
18.04.2026 14:00
Lahden Stadion
Referee: D. Antamo
Lahti
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Antoin Loic Essomba
Inter Turku
61'
Alie Conteh
Inter Turku
🟨
65'
Osku Maukonen
Lahti
66'
J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
69'
E. Andersson ↔ O. Koskinen
Lahti
🔄
71'
H. Salomaa ↔ J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
71'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ V. Ulundu
Inter Turku
🔄
72'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
77'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
77'
Martim Augusto ↔ A. Belabid
Lahti
🔄
81'
R. Yapi ↔ J. Lehtonen
Lahti
🔄
88'
L. Essomba ↔ L. Kuittinen
Inter Turku
🟨
90+4'
Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
90'
J. Niska · Assist: J. Tuominen
Inter Turku

Lahti vs Inter Turku Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 43.5%
Draw 0%
Inter Turku Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.3
Inter Turku0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
1
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 6 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 6 matches
Lahti Statistic Inter Turku
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
1 Shots On Goal 3.5
3 Total Shots 10.5
1.5 Corners 6.5
21.5% Ball Possession 65.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Inter Turku's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Turku. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Inter Turku in 4-2-4, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control.

Lahti Analysis

Lahti are currently 7 in the standings with 3 points from 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 2:2 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sarr (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 4 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 2:1 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Conteh (1 goals), I. Kangasniemi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Laine (1 assists), L. Essomba (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 2 times, Inter Turku won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:30 from Lahti's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / Inter Turku 4-2-4
H2H summary: Lahti wins 2, draws 3, Inter Turku wins 10

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7
Lahti Home
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)