ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
18.09.2026 16:00
Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Laagri vs Kuressaare Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 68%
Draw 12.9%
Kuressaare Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.76
Kuressaare1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
56 GF / 56 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
42 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2
20
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 35 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 33 matches
Laagri Statistic Kuressaare
15 Wins 9
3 Draws 6
17 Losses 18
56 Goals For 42
56 Goals Against 66
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2
20 BTTS Yes 19
30 Over 1.5 25
24 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kuressaare. Laagri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Laagri Analysis

With 31 points from 27 games and a place of 7, Laagri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 16 defeats with a 38:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kuressaare Analysis

So far, Kuressaare have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 28 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 30:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 4 times, Kuressaare won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Laagri's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Laagri 4-2-3-1 / Kuressaare 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Laagri wins 4, draws 5, Kuressaare wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga