ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Referee: K. Kaivoja
Laagri
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
A. Kaevats
Laagri
🔄
65'
H. Palutaja ↔ S. Suppi
Laagri
66'
R. Reimaa · Assist: A. Binate
Laagri
🟨
67'
M. Seck
Laagri
🟨
70'
M. Tambedou
Kalju Nomme
🔄
71'
T. Baptista ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
76'
K. Eerme ↔ Y. E. Assale
Laagri
🔄
78'
D. Sotsugov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
80'
A. Borolinstsikov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
82'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ F. Jekimov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
82'
M. Tambedou ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
83'
K. Roomussaar ↔ M. Kelement
Laagri
🟨
90+2'
S. Suppi
Laagri
🟨
90+5'
U. Korre
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.8%
1.12
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.44
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.64
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 40.8%
Draw 12.2%
Kalju Nomme Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.39
Kalju Nomme1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
49 GF / 49 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
70 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
17
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 30 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 36 matches
Laagri Statistic Kalju Nomme
12 Wins 19
3 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
49 Goals For 70
49 Goals Against 37
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
17 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 29
21 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kalju Nomme. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. Laagri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kalju Nomme carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 41 points while Laagri sit 8 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri sit 8 with 25 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 41 points after 22 outings. With 12 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 1 times, Kalju Nomme won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:27 from Laagri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Laagri - / Kalju Nomme 4-4-2
H2H summary: Laagri wins 1, draws 2, Kalju Nomme wins 12
Last matches: Laagri
16.08.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
07.08.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
02.08.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
19.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
5
2
W
10.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
05.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
16.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
3
1
W
08.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
5
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
H2H: Laagri vs Kalju Nomme
20.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
08.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
19.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
24.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
2
3
L
18.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
09.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
L
11.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
L
14.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
12.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
15.02.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
15.02.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
1
L
Last matches: Laagri
16.08.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
19.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
5
2
W
10.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Laagri
PK-35
1
1
D
H2H at home: Laagri
08.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
19.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
24.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
2
3
L
30.09.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
19.03.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
15.02.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
08.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
5
3
W
23.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Maardu
5
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Viimsi
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
0
W
H2H away: Kalju Nomme
08.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
19.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
3
W
24.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
2
3
W
30.09.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
19.03.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
15.02.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.48
Draw 4.56
Home 5.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 2.65
Home 5.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.34
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.95
Over 3.5 2.17
Over 3.75 2.46
Over 4.0 3.00
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 2.75 2.37
Under 3.0 2.11
Under 3.25 1.85
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.51
Under 4.0 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.38
Draw 4.50
Home 5.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 2.60
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 2.75
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.45
Draw 4.30
Home 5.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.94
Draw 2.46
Home 5.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.74
Draw 2.99
Home 5.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.90
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 3.75 2.35
Over 4.0 2.83
Over 4.25 3.14
Over 4.5 3.42
Over 4.75 4.20
Over 5.0 5.55
Over 5.25 5.84
Over 5.5 6.15
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.25 6.40
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 1.75 4.80
Under 2.0 4.33
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.31
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 3.75 1.47
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.52
Draw 4.20
Home 4.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.04
Draw 2.60
Home 4.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.05
Home 4.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.48
Over 3.0 1.61
Over 3.25 1.82
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 3.75 2.28
Over 4.5 3.25
Over 5.5 5.40
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 2.75 2.38
Under 3.0 2.12
Under 3.25 1.85
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 3.75 1.53
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 5 1 61:18 43 56
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 43:18 25 44
W W W D W
3 21 13 0 8 42:24 18 39
L W L W W
4 22 10 6 6 34:29 5 36
D W L W D
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 22 8 3 11 30:42 -12 27
L D L W L
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 23 8 1 14 33:40 -7 25
L L L W W
9 23 7 3 13 25:38 -13 24
W W L D L
10 24 5 2 17 18:55 -37 17
L D L W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga