FRANCE LIGUE 3
19.09.2026 12:45
Stade Henri-Desgranges
La Roche VF
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
M. Rouai · Assist: M. Zogba
Valenciennes
🟨
18'
D. Diomande
Valenciennes
🟥
21'
A. Wahib
Valenciennes
24'
M. Ndiaye
La Roche VF
🟨
45+1'
J. Behlow
La Roche VF
🔄
46'
D. Diomande ↔ Z. Amir
Valenciennes
🔄
46'
J. Behlow ↔ R. Evora Moniz
La Roche VF
49'
D. Goprou · Assist: T. Marechal
Valenciennes
51'
A. Araujo · Assist: M. Ndiaye
La Roche VF
🔄
58'
S. Belloumou ↔ D. Abu
Valenciennes
🟨
59'
M. Rabuel
La Roche VF
🔄
71'
A. Araujo ↔ M. Vrignon
La Roche VF
🔄
75'
K. Bensoula ↔ D. Bangoura
La Roche VF
🔄
75'
M. Jacob ↔ T. Renaudineau
La Roche VF
🔄
83'
G. Courtet ↔ C. Abi
Valenciennes
🔄
83'
R. Ekra ↔ V. Marcel
Valenciennes
🔄
90+1'
T. Marechal ↔ A. Meite
Valenciennes
90+3'
M. Vrignon · Assist: J. Beaulieu
La Roche VF

La Roche VF vs Valenciennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
2.28
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.05
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
La Roche VF Win 53.5%
Draw 17.5%
Valenciennes Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
La Roche VF1.3
Valenciennes1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
La Roche VF La Roche VF
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
5
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

La Roche VF La Roche VF 8 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 12 matches
La Roche VF Statistic Valenciennes
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
0 Losses 3
11 Goals For 18
7 Goals Against 14
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
5 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 11
2 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by La Roche VF's more proactive style and Valenciennes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valenciennes having the stronger overall control. La Roche VF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 11 points compared to Valenciennes in 14 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Valenciennes.

La Roche VF Analysis

La Roche VF approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 7:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 5 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 13:2 11 17
W W D W W
2 7 4 3 0 10:6 4 15
W D D W D
3 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
W W D D W
4 7 3 3 1 13:11 2 12
D L D D W
5 7 4 0 3 12:7 5 12
L W W L W
6 7 3 2 2 8:2 6 11
W D W W L
7 7 2 5 0 8:3 5 11
D D W W D
8 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
D W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:9 -3 10
D W L W L
11 7 2 3 2 5:7 -2 9
D L D D W
12 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
D W D W L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
D W W L L
14 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L D L W
15 7 1 2 4 7:12 -5 5
L L D D L
16 7 1 1 5 3:8 -5 4
L L D W L
17 7 1 1 5 4:12 -8 4
D L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation