Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
La Luz Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
La Luz1.2
Progreso0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
La Luz
WWDLW
30 GF / 18 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
10
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
La Luz
23 matches
Progreso
22 matches
| La Luz | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 10 |
| 30 | Goals For | 16 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, La Luz won 2 times, Progreso won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from La Luz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: La Luz - / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: La Luz wins 2, draws 1, Progreso wins 0
Last matches: La Luz
23.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
2
L
16.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
01.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
5
L
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
21.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
2
0
W
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
06.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Paysandu
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
09.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
11.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
2
1
W
28.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
H2H: La Luz vs Progreso
28.08.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
1
D
05.06.22
H2H
Progreso
La Luz
2
4
W
20.03.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
0
W
Last matches: La Luz
23.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
2
L
01.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
5
L
13.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
21.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
2
0
W
06.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Paysandu
1
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
11.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
2
1
W
28.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
18.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
1
1
D
04.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Albion FC
1
0
W
19.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Rampla Juniors
1
1
D
05.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Central Espanol
0
4
L
26.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
0
W
10.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
1
L
02.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
19.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
06.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
2
2
D
24.06.25
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
1
1
D
H2H at home: La Luz
28.08.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
H2H away: Progreso
28.08.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
0
L