SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
La Linguère Win 16.7%
Draw 6.4%
Ouakam Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
La Linguère0.58
Ouakam0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
La Linguère La Linguère
WWDLW
19 GF / 32 GA
Ouakam Ouakam
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.41
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

La Linguère La Linguère 27 matches
Ouakam Ouakam 27 matches
La Linguère Statistic Ouakam
3 Wins 7
14 Draws 17
10 Losses 3
19 Goals For 18
32 Goals Against 11
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.41
10 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 3
6 Over 3.5 0
10 Clean Sheets 17
14 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ouakam's more proactive style and La Linguère's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ouakam carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 35 points while La Linguère sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ouakam having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. La Linguère have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ouakam.

La Linguère Analysis

La Linguère sit 15 with 22 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 19:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ouakam Analysis

Ouakam sit 6 with 35 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 17 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 11 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, La Linguère won 2 times, Ouakam won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from La Linguère's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
H2H summary: La Linguère wins 2, draws 6, Ouakam wins 2
Last matches: La Linguère
04.06.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
2
2
D
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
H2H: La Linguère vs Ouakam
17.05.26
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
01.02.26
H2H
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
L
05.05.25
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
07.12.24
H2H
Ouakam
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Ouakam
La Linguère
0
0
D
03.12.23
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
0
W
06.05.18
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
0
D
28.01.18
H2H
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
2
W
18.06.17
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
1
L
25.02.17
H2H
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
Last matches: La Linguère
04.06.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
4
L
29.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
1
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
0
W
28.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
14.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
1
L
23.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
2
L
H2H at home: La Linguère
17.05.26
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
0
W
06.05.18
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
0
D
18.06.17
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
1
L
Last matches: Ouakam
10.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
20.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
0
0
D
H2H away: Ouakam
17.05.26
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
0
L
06.05.18
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
0
D
18.06.17
H2H
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
1
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation