NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Kwara Sports Stadium
Kwara United
Match Timeline
Enyimba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
B. Bright
Kwara United
28'
B. Bright
Kwara United
🟨
45+1'
W. Williams
Enyimba
🔄
46'
A. Gata ↔ I. Emmanuel
Kwara United
🔄
46'
A. Shola ↔ A. Abdulsalam
Kwara United
🔄
46'
J. Abiodun ↔ A. Idris
Enyimba
🔄
46'
E. Edidiong ↔ S. Okechukwu
Enyimba
🔄
70'
A. Olanrewaju ↔ O. Saheed
Kwara United
🔄
70'
A. Akanni ↔ M. Alao
Kwara United
🔄
70'
B. Bright ↔ S. Mohammed
Kwara United
🔄
76'
A. Salman ↔ A. Nwaorisa
Enyimba
🔄
86'
W. Williams ↔ W. Obichere
Enyimba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kwara United Win 81.6%
Draw 7.5%
Enyimba Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kwara United1
Enyimba1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kwara United Kwara United
WWDLW
33 GF / 32 GA
Enyimba Enyimba
WLDWL
41 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
13
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kwara United Kwara United 36 matches
Enyimba Enyimba 36 matches
Kwara United Statistic Enyimba
12 Wins 12
11 Draws 10
13 Losses 14
33 Goals For 41
32 Goals Against 40
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
13 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 26
10 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Enyimba having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Enyimba. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Kwara United Analysis

Kwara United sit 11 with 47 points after 36 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 33:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Aule (6 goals), B. Bright (4 goals), J. Aimufua (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), P. Ozor (1 assists), V. Adeoye (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Enyimba Analysis

So far, Enyimba have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 46 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, while the 41:40 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Michael (11 goals), E. Edidiong (4 goals), K. Nweke (4 goals), with creative support from K. Nweke (1 assists), S. Ogberahwe (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kwara United won 5 times, Enyimba won 9 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from Kwara United's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
H2H summary: Kwara United wins 5, draws 0, Enyimba wins 9

Lineups

Enyimba
Formation
Kwara United
K. Ogunga
K. Ogunga
J. Ezra
J. Ezra
U. Asuquo
U. Asuquo
S. Agu
S. Agu
E. Onyema
E. Onyema
A. Salman
A. Salman
U. Chinedu
U. Chinedu
J. Abiodun
J. Abiodun
W. Williams
W. Williams
E. Edidiong
E. Edidiong
C. Michael
C. Michael
S. Ayeleso
S. Ayeleso
Y. Ibrahim
Y. Ibrahim
A. Ogbonna
A. Ogbonna
A. Olanrewaju
A. Olanrewaju
M. Kabiru
M. Kabiru
G. Abutu
G. Abutu
A. Shola
A. Shola
A. Akanni
A. Akanni
B. Bright
⚽ 2
B. Bright
J. Aimufua
J. Aimufua
A. Gata
A. Gata
Enyimba 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
2
K. Ogunga
36
J. Ezra
20
U. Asuquo
25
S. Agu
5
E. Onyema
29
A. Salman
↓ 76'
22
U. Chinedu
17
J. Abiodun
↓ 46'
7
W. Williams
↓ 86' 🟨 45+1'
14
E. Edidiong
↓ 46'
21
C. Michael
Substitutes
35
M. Ukadike
26
W. Obichere
↑ 86'
24
A. Idris
↑ 46'
18
S. Okechukwu
↑ 46'
13
H. Ndedi
32
S. Dimgba
40
A. Nwaorisa
↑ 76'
19
I. Mohammed
30
E. Awazie
Kwara United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Ayeleso
25
Y. Ibrahim
34
A. Ogbonna
15
A. Olanrewaju
↓ 70'
12
M. Kabiru
6
G. Abutu
8
A. Shola
↓ 46'
3
A. Akanni
↓ 70'
2
B. Bright
⚽ 4' ⚽ 28' ↓ 70'
14
J. Aimufua
18
A. Gata
↓ 46'
Substitutes
B. Nurudeen
M. Afeez
19
J. Hannafin
26
O. Saheed
↑ 70'
21
I. Emmanuel
↑ 46'
M. Alao
↑ 70'
S. Mohammed
↑ 70'
A. Abdulsalam
↑ 46'
27
M. Salisu
Last matches: Kwara United
24.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
0
4
L
03.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
2
D
19.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
05.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
28.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
1
3
L
15.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
08.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
2
1
W
28.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
18.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
0
1
L
02.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
29.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
14.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
27.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
21.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
Last matches: Enyimba
24.05.26
NPF
Enyimba
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
03.05.26
NPF
Enyimba
Remo Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
NPF
Enyimba
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
12.04.26
NPF
Enyimba
Katsina United
3
0
W
04.04.26
NPF
Enyimba
Wikki Tourist
2
2
D
29.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
22.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Kano Pillars
0
2
L
15.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Plateau United
2
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Warri Wolves
1
2
L
01.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Kun Khalifat FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
07.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
01.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Bayelsa United
1
0
W
28.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Niger Tornadoes
0
2
L
18.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Barau FC
0
0
D
14.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Shooting Stars
0
3
L
28.12.25
NPF
Enyimba
Shooting Stars
3
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Enyimba
El Kanemi Warriors
2
3
L
H2H: Kwara United vs Enyimba
10.05.26
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
14.12.25
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
3
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
2
0
L
27.01.25
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
1
W
05.11.23
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
2
L
29.01.23
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
3
0
L
12.06.22
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
3
0
L
16.02.22
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
W
07.07.21
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
1
0
L
20.01.21
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
W
26.04.20
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
0
0
D
19.02.20
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
2
0
L
14.04.19
H2H
Enyimba
Kwara United
2
0
L
Last matches: Kwara United
19.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
28.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
15.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
28.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
18.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
1
1
D
02.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
14.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
07.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
0
W
23.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
01.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
3
1
W
19.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
1
0
W
05.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
02.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
2
1
W
07.09.25
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
0
D
H2H at home: Kwara United
10.05.26
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
27.01.25
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
2
L
16.02.22
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
W
20.01.21
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
W
26.04.20
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
0
0
D
Last matches: Enyimba
19.04.26
NPF
Enyimba
Enugu Rangers
1
2
L
04.04.26
NPF
Enyimba
Wikki Tourist
2
2
D
22.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Kano Pillars
0
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Enyimba
Warri Wolves
1
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Rivers United
1
1
D
07.02.26
NPF
Enyimba
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
28.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Niger Tornadoes
0
2
L
14.01.26
NPF
Enyimba
Shooting Stars
0
3
L
21.12.25
NPF
Enyimba
El Kanemi Warriors
2
3
L
07.12.25
NPF
Enyimba
Remo Stars
1
2
L
24.11.25
NPF
Enyimba
Katsina United
2
3
L
09.11.25
NPF
Enyimba
Abia Warriors
0
0
D
26.10.25
NPF
Enyimba
Plateau United
1
2
L
12.10.25
NPF
Enyimba
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
28.09.25
NPF
Enyimba
Ikorodu City
1
1
D
14.09.25
NPF
Enyimba
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Enyimba
Barau FC
0
0
D
H2H away: Enyimba
10.05.26
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
L
27.01.25
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
L
24.03.24
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
2
W
16.02.22
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
L
20.01.21
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
0
L
26.04.20
H2H
Kwara United
Enyimba
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation