ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Kuressaare Linnastaadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 62.6%
Draw 24.1%
Laagri Win 13.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.36
Laagri1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
30 GF / 50 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
46 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.7
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
14
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 25 matches
Laagri Laagri 27 matches
Kuressaare Statistic Laagri
6 Wins 12
5 Draws 3
14 Losses 12
30 Goals For 46
50 Goals Against 43
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
14 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Laagri. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control.

Kuressaare Analysis

With 18 points from 20 games and a place of 9, Kuressaare still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 19:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 11 defeats with a 30:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 2 times, Laagri won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Kuressaare's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.6%)
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 2, draws 5, Laagri wins 4
Last matches: Kuressaare
19.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
Last matches: Laagri
19.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
5
2
W
10.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
05.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H: Kuressaare vs Laagri
13.06.26
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
11.04.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
17.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
3
L
29.06.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
2
L
25.01.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
01.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
07.03.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
Last matches: Kuressaare
19.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
02.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
H2H at home: Kuressaare
11.04.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
3
L
16.03.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
2
L
04.11.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
07.03.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
Last matches: Laagri
05.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
2
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
H2H away: Laagri
11.04.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
L
09.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
3
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
2
W
04.11.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
07.03.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga