ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
19.07.2026 14:00
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Referee: J. Jakobson
Kuressaare
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
62'
C. Godwin ↔ E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🔄
62'
N. Ivanov ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
68'
E. Demidov ↔ G. Roivassepp
Kuressaare
🟨
76'
T. Jurisoo
Kuressaare
🔄
76'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
76'
D. Mashchenko ↔ M. Tambedou
Kalju Nomme
🔄
81'
D. Sotsugov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
82'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🔄
85'
S. Sinilaid ↔ R. Lukas
Kuressaare
🔄
89'
A. Kivi ↔ M. Leivategija
Kuressaare
🔄
89'
R. Talu ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare

Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 18.9%
Draw 4.9%
Kalju Nomme Win 76.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.14
Kalju Nomme1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
30 GF / 50 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
56 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.87
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
14
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 24 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 30 matches
Kuressaare Statistic Kalju Nomme
6 Wins 15
4 Draws 8
14 Losses 7
30 Goals For 56
50 Goals Against 29
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
14 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kalju Nomme. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kalju Nomme carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Kuressaare sit 9 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kuressaare have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control.

Kuressaare Analysis

Kuressaare sit 9 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 19:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 19 outings, Kalju Nomme continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 33:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 0 times, Kalju Nomme won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:39 from Kuressaare's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Kuressaare 4-2-3-1 / Kalju Nomme -
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 0, draws 1, Kalju Nomme wins 13

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga