FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
09.08.2026 12:00
Vare Areena
Referee: Matti Roth, Finland
KuPS
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🟨
44'
Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS
🔄
46'
S. Touray ↔ T. Jyry
KuPS
🔄
57'
L. Ikonen ↔ P. Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
57'
N. Talo ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
57'
S. Anini ↔ M. Konkkola
Turku PS
🔄
59'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba ↔ J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
KuPS
🔄
59'
A. Heinonen ↔ V. R. Gasc
KuPS
🔄
72'
N. Kujasalo ↔ Jorginho
KuPS
🟨
77'
Charlemagne Azongnitode
Turku PS
🔄
83'
A. Lotjonen ↔ B. Magassa
KuPS
🟨
85'
Marius Könkkölä
Turku PS
🔄
86'
O. Haggstrom ↔ N. Veinbergs
Turku PS
🔄
90+4'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ A. Sairinen
Turku PS
90'
N. Veinbergs · Assist: P. Juvanteny
Turku PS

KuPS vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 83.6%
Draw 7.1%
Turku PS Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.38
Turku PS1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
41 GF / 23 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
13
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
2.39
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 26 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 23 matches
KuPS Statistic Turku PS
14 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 9
41 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 25
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
13 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
2.39 Shots On Goal 2.17
5.7 Total Shots 5.94
2.3 Corners 2.56
24.7% Ball Possession 27.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. KuPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 39 points compared to Turku PS in 8 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 39 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 33:16 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 23:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 7 times, Turku PS won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from KuPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / Turku PS 4-3-3
H2H summary: KuPS wins 7, draws 5, Turku PS wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)