FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 0
Vare Areena
Referee: A. Munukka
KuPS
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Salim Giabo Yussif
SJK
🟨
52'
Kelvin Pires
SJK
🟨
56'
Rangel
SJK
🟨
65'
Olatoundji Tessilimi
SJK
🔄
67'
T. Hamalainen ↔ S. Savolainen
KuPS
🔄
67'
N. Kujasalo ↔ S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🔄
74'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
74'
K. Paananen ↔ J. Streng
SJK
🔄
74'
M. Suso ↔ D. Bulgakov
SJK
🔄
79'
O. Tessilimi ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
🔄
79'
Rangel ↔ A. Bostrom
SJK
🟨
84'
Arttu Lötjönen
KuPS
🟥
88'
Roope Paunio
SJK
🔄
89'
V. R. Gasc ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🔄
90'
Caio Araujo ↔ J. Viitala
SJK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 88.3%
Draw 0%
SJK Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.24
SJK0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
4
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
1.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 9 matches
SJK SJK 10 matches
KuPS Statistic SJK
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 1.4
9.67 Total Shots 3.2
3.67 Corners 1.2
40.7% Ball Possession 20.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by KuPS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. KuPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 11 points compared to SJK in 8 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 11 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

SJK Analysis

SJK sit 8 with 5 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Streng (2 goals), K. Paananen (1 goals), K. Pires (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), S. Yussif (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 8 times, SJK won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from KuPS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / SJK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: KuPS wins 8, draws 6, SJK wins 1

Lineups

KuPS
Formation
SJK
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
T. Hamalainen
T. Hamalainen
B. Magassa
B. Magassa
A. Lotjonen
A. Lotjonen
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
V. R. Gasc
V. R. Gasc
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
N. Kujasalo
N. Kujasalo
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
R. Paunio
R. Paunio
S. Yussif
S. Yussif
K. Pires
K. Pires
S. Chukwudi
S. Chukwudi
Caio Araujo
Caio Araujo
M. Arsalo
M. Arsalo
A. Wilson
A. Wilson
K. Paananen
K. Paananen
O. Tessilimi
O. Tessilimi
Rangel
Rangel
M. Suso
M. Suso
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
33
T. Hamalainen
↓ 67'
D
28
B. Magassa
D
23
A. Lotjonen
🟨 84'
D
25
C. Antwi
D
10
V. R. Gasc
↓ 89'
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↓ 74'
F
34
O. Ruoppi
M
13
N. Kujasalo
↓ 67'
M
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
6
S. Savolainen
↑ 67'
D
17
A. Heinonen
↑ 89'
M
29
A. Puukko
9
G. Engvall
↑ 74'
F
4
K. Adams
D
3
S. Heiskanen
↑ 67'
M
2
K. Ward
D
20
S. Soumahoro
M
SJK 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Paunio
🟥 88'
G
6
S. Yussif
🟨 42'
D
4
K. Pires
🟨 52'
D
28
S. Chukwudi
D
42
Caio Araujo
↓ 90'
18
M. Arsalo
M
23
A. Wilson
M
10
K. Paananen
↓ 74'
M
17
O. Tessilimi
↓ 79' 🟨 65'
F
99
Rangel
↓ 79' 🟨 56'
F
47
M. Suso
↓ 74'
M
Substitutes
35
J. Viitala
↑ 90'
G
19
E. Mastokangas
↑ 79'
M
37
Mani
M
32
S. Yakubu
D
9
J. Streng
↑ 74'
F
26
J. Moisio
D
5
O. Vaisto
D
8
A. Bostrom
↑ 79'
M
21
D. Bulgakov
↑ 74'
M
Last matches: KuPS
21.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
Last matches: SJK
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
H2H: KuPS vs SJK
18.07.26
H2H
SJK
KuPS
0
2
W
08.05.26
H2H
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
27.03.26
H2H
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
07.02.26
H2H
SJK
KuPS
3
0
L
27.10.25
H2H
SJK
KuPS
0
1
W
23.09.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
3
2
W
31.08.25
H2H
SJK
KuPS
1
1
D
02.05.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
SJK
KuPS
1
3
W
05.10.24
H2H
SJK
KuPS
0
1
W
22.08.24
H2H
SJK
KuPS
2
2
D
04.08.24
H2H
KuPS
SJK
2
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
SJK
KuPS
1
1
D
17.02.24
H2H
SJK
KuPS
1
3
W
01.10.23
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
1
D
Last matches: KuPS
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Drita
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
22.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
1
0
W
H2H at home: KuPS
08.05.26
H2H
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
23.09.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
3
2
W
02.05.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
KuPS
SJK
2
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
1
D
Last matches: SJK
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
17.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
0
2
L
H2H away: SJK
08.05.26
H2H
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
23.09.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
3
2
L
02.05.25
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
0
L
04.08.24
H2H
KuPS
SJK
2
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
KuPS
SJK
1
1
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4 16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7 16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10
SJK Away
16 3 5 8 18:25 -7 14
L L W D D
11 16 2 6 8 15:32 -17 12
D W L D L
12 16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)