FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
Referee: J. Hyytia
KuPS
Match Timeline
HJK Helsinki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
O. Ruoppi · Assist: J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
KuPS
🟨
35'
Mihailo Bogićević
HJK Helsinki
🟨
41'
Matej Marković
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
M. Kirilov ↔ M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
47'
M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
🔄
66'
T. Mero ↔ L. Lappalainen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
67'
T. Pukki ↔ J. Kallinen
HJK Helsinki
🟨
68'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🔄
72'
L. Moller ↔ D. Ezeh
HJK Helsinki
🔄
74'
B. Armah ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
86'
S. Savolainen ↔ T. Hamalainen
KuPS
🔄
86'
V. R. Gasc ↔ N. Kujasalo
KuPS
🔄
86'
L. Lingman ↔ A. Nylund
HJK Helsinki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 72.4%
Draw 3.7%
HJK Helsinki Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.34
HJK Helsinki1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
11 GF / 4 GA
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
5
6.75
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 7 matches
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 7 matches
KuPS Statistic HJK Helsinki
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 3
11 Goals For 13
4 Goals Against 7
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
6.75 Shots On Goal 4.67
14.5 Total Shots 13.33
5.5 Corners 5.67
61% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 8 times, HJK Helsinki won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:14 from KuPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
H2H summary: KuPS wins 8, draws 3, HJK Helsinki wins 3

Lineups

KuPS
Formation
HJK Helsinki
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
S. Savolainen
S. Savolainen
B. Magassa
B. Magassa
K. Adams
K. Adams
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
V. R. Gasc
V. R. Gasc
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
B. Armah
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
🎯
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
M. Markovic
M. Markovic
L. Montano
L. Montano
M. Bogicevic
M. Bogicevic
V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen
B. Lyons-Foster
B. Lyons-Foster
P. Mentu
P. Mentu
M. Kirilov
M. Kirilov
L. Lingman
L. Lingman
L. Moller
L. Moller
T. Pukki
T. Pukki
T. Mero
T. Mero
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
6
S. Savolainen
↓ 86'
D
28
B. Magassa
D
4
K. Adams
D
25
C. Antwi
D
10
V. R. Gasc
↓ 86'
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
M
34
O. Ruoppi
⚽ 2'
M
24
B. Armah
↓ 74' 🟨 68'
M
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
🎯 2'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
17
A. Heinonen
M
33
T. Hamalainen
↑ 86'
D
9
G. Engvall
↑ 74'
F
3
S. Heiskanen
M
23
A. Lotjonen
D
13
N. Kujasalo
↑ 86'
M
2
K. Ward
D
20
S. Soumahoro
M
HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
Starting XI
44
M. Markovic
🟨 41'
G
14
L. Montano
D
31
M. Bogicevic
🟨 35'
D
6
V. Tikkanen
D
2
B. Lyons-Foster
D
8
P. Mentu
M
17
M. Kirilov
↓ 46'
M
10
L. Lingman
↓ 86'
M
22
L. Moller
↓ 72'
F
20
T. Pukki
↓ 67'
F
18
T. Mero
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ost
G
26
L. Lappalainen
↑ 66'
M
28
M. Ylitolva
D
19
D. Ezeh
↑ 72'
F
24
E. Levealahti
D
13
K. Simojoki
D
9
M. Borchers
⚽ 47' ↑ 46'
F
15
J. Kallinen
↑ 67'
M
16
A. Nylund
↑ 86'
M
Last matches: KuPS
25.07.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
H2H: KuPS vs HJK Helsinki
27.06.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
W
26.04.26
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
2
W
19.10.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
0
L
27.06.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
3
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
19.06.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
3
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
2
2
D
05.05.23
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
24.03.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
0
D
Last matches: KuPS
25.07.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Drita
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
22.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
1
0
W
H2H at home: KuPS
26.04.26
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
27.06.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
05.05.23
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
H2H away: HJK Helsinki
26.04.26
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
L
27.06.25
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
3
1
L
05.05.23
H2H
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
17 10 6 1 32:16 16 36
W W W W W
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 17 7 6 4 24:16 8 27
L L W W D
4 17 8 3 6 21:21 0 27
D L L D L
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7 16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10 17 3 6 8 17:33 -16 15
W D W L D
11 17 3 5 9 19:27 -8 14
L L L W D
12 17 0 5 12 9:36 -27 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)