NORWAY ELITESERIEN
06.09.2026 17:15
Kristiansund Stadion
Referee: U. Aslam
Kristiansund BK
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Leander Alvheim · Assist: Marius Elvius
Kristiansund BK
🟨
22'
Vince Osuji
Tromso
🟨
25'
Marius Elvius
Kristiansund BK
🔄
45'
Lars Olden Larsen ↔ Jesper Andreas Grundt
Tromso
🔄
45'
Vince Osuji ↔ Musa Jatta
Tromso
🟨
50'
Musa Jatta
Tromso
🟨
54'
Sander Håvik Innvær
Tromso
🔄
56'
Gustav Ørsøe Christensen ↔ David Tufekcic
Kristiansund BK
🔄
66'
Morten Bjorlo ↔ Vegard Erlien
Tromso
🔄
66'
Zymer Bytyqi ↔ Wilfred George Igor
Kristiansund BK
🔄
66'
John Kitolano ↔ Frederik Flex
Kristiansund BK
🔄
75'
Jesper Isaksen ↔ Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
75'
Sander Svendsen ↔ Adrian Kurd Rønning
Kristiansund BK
77'
Leander Alvheim · Assist: Wilfred George Igor
Kristiansund BK
🔄
78'
Heine Asen Larsen ↔ Nicolai Arun Jacobsen
Tromso
🔄
89'
Sander Håvik Innvær ↔ Mads Mikkelsen
Tromso

Kristiansund BK vs Tromso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.8%
1.85
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
1.23
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kristiansund BK Win 19.4%
Draw 15.7%
Tromso Win 64.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristiansund BK0.99
Tromso1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WWDLW
27 GF / 38 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
51 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 28 matches
Tromso Tromso 30 matches
Kristiansund BK Statistic Tromso
7 Wins 16
8 Draws 8
13 Losses 6
27 Goals For 51
38 Goals Against 31
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 9
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.71
12.61 Total Shots 10.54
4.28 Corners 4.54
42.8% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tromso's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kristiansund BK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tromso. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Kristiansund BK sit 14 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kristiansund BK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK sit 14 with 15 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Leander Alvheim (6 goals), Sander Hestetun Kilen (2 goals), Wilfred George Igor (1 goals), with creative support from Sander Hestetun Kilen (2 assists), Alexander Munksgaard (2 assists), Heine Gikling Bruseth (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 34 points after 17 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 34:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Heine Asen Larsen (5 goals), Alexander Warneryd (4 goals), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Jenssen (4 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), Troy Nyhammer (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund BK won 3 times, Tromso won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Kristiansund BK's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Kristiansund BK 1, Tromso 4
H2H summary: Kristiansund BK wins 3, draws 5, Tromso wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen