POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Exbud Arena
Referee: T. Kwiatkowski
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
Widzew Łódź
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Tamar Svetlin
Korona Kielce
🟨
21'
Emil Kornvig
Widzew Łódź
🟨
45+1'
Juljan Shehu
Widzew Łódź
61'
D. Blanik
Korona Kielce
🔄
63'
S. Andreou ↔ M. Krajewski
Widzew Łódź
🔄
69'
D. Blanik ↔ S. Davidovic
Korona Kielce
🟨
72'
Stjepan Davidović
Korona Kielce
🔄
74'
M. Fornalczyk ↔ L. Selahi
Widzew Łódź
🔄
74'
A. Baena Perez ↔ O. Bukari
Widzew Łódź
🔄
76'
M. Stepinski ↔ Antonin
Korona Kielce
🔄
77'
M. Pieczek ↔ K. Matuszewski
Korona Kielce
🔄
79'
F. Alvarez ↔ A. Zeqiri
Widzew Łódź
🟨
83'
Sebastian Bergier
Widzew Łódź
🔄
84'
Nono ↔ V. Nikolov
Korona Kielce
🟨
90+6'
Vladimir Nikolov
Korona Kielce

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 75.5%
Draw 9.9%
Widzew Łódź Win 14.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.2
Widzew Łódź1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
38 GF / 39 GA
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
WLDWL
39 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
17
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
15
3.88
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 matches
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic Widzew Łódź
10 Wins 11
9 Draws 6
13 Losses 15
38 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 39
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
17 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 9
3.88 Shots On Goal 4
14.84 Total Shots 13.16
5.06 Corners 4.13
46.1% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Widzew Łódź. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Korona Kielce expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Widzew Łódź in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Widzew Łódź having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 39 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats with a 38:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dawid Błanik (8 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (5 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (4 assists), Wiktor Długosz (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Widzew Łódź Analysis

Widzew Łódź approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 39 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 39:39 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Bergier (14 goals), F. Alvarez (7 goals), J. Shehu (4 goals), with creative support from S. Bergier (3 assists), F. Alvarez (3 assists), J. Shehu (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 8 times, Widzew Łódź won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1 / Widzew Łódź 4-3-3
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 8, draws 2, Widzew Łódź wins 4
Stats
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 2
23 Fouls 16
4 Offsides 0
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
295 Total passes 389
224 Passes accurate 310
0.80 expected_goals 0.53
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Korona Kielce
Formation
Widzew Łódź
X. Dziekonski
X. Dziekonski
S. Rubezic
S. Rubezic
K. Sotiriou
K. Sotiriou
P. Resta
P. Resta
H. Zwozny
H. Zwozny
M. Remacle
M. Remacle
T. Svetlin
T. Svetlin
M. Pieczek
M. Pieczek
Nono
Nono
D. Blanik
D. Blanik
M. Stepinski
M. Stepinski
B. Dragowski
B. Dragowski
S. Andreou
S. Andreou
P. Wisniewski
P. Wisniewski
S. Kapuadi
S. Kapuadi
S. Kozlovsky
S. Kozlovsky
J. Shehu
J. Shehu
A. Baena Perez
A. Baena Perez
F. Alvarez
F. Alvarez
E. Kornvig
E. Kornvig
M. Fornalczyk
M. Fornalczyk
S. Bergier
S. Bergier
Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
X. Dziekonski
G
23
S. Rubezic
D
44
K. Sotiriou
D
5
P. Resta
D
37
H. Zwozny
M
8
M. Remacle
M
88
T. Svetlin
🟨 8'
M
6
M. Pieczek
↓ 77'
M
10
Nono
↓ 84'
F
7
D. Blanik
⚽ 61' ↓ 69'
F
14
M. Stepinski
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
87
R. Mamla
G
86
S. Gustafson
M
3
K. Matuszewski
↑ 77'
D
27
W. Kaminski
M
9
S. Davidovic
↑ 69' 🟨 72'
M
21
K. Ciszek
D
26
V. Popov
D
11
V. Nikolov
↑ 84' 🟨 90+6'
F
15
N. Niski
D
70
Antonin
↑ 76'
F
Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
B. Dragowski
G
5
S. Andreou
↓ 63'
D
25
P. Wisniewski
D
53
S. Kapuadi
D
3
S. Kozlovsky
D
6
J. Shehu
🟨 45+1'
M
77
A. Baena Perez
↓ 74'
M
10
F. Alvarez
↓ 79'
M
8
E. Kornvig
🟨 21'
M
7
M. Fornalczyk
↓ 74'
M
99
S. Bergier
🟨 83'
F
Substitutes
30
V. Ilic
G
98
M. Kikolski
G
9
A. Zeqiri
↑ 79'
F
4
M. Zyro
D
18
L. Selahi
↑ 74'
M
19
B. Pawlowski
M
22
O. Bukari
↑ 74'
F
14
R. Visus
D
91
M. Krajewski
↑ 63'
D
Last matches: Korona Kielce
25.07.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
08.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
2
4
L
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
16.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
0
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
01.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
Last matches: Widzew Łódź
19.07.26
Fri
Widzew Łódź
Puszcza Niepołomice
2
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
Widzew Łódź
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
Widzew Łódź
Beşiktaş
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Widzew Łódź
Dunajska Streda
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
Widzew Łódź
Stal Rzeszów
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
01.05.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
2
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Radomiak Radom
1
2
L
11.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Nieciecza
1
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
15.03.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
0
0
D
07.03.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
20.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
14.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
31.01.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Jagiellonia
1
3
L
H2H: Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź
15.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
23.11.25
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
1
3
W
11.04.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
04.12.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
04.10.24
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
0
1
W
01.04.24
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
3
1
L
22.09.23
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
27.05.23
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
0
3
W
12.11.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
26.04.22
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
1
2
W
15.10.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
10.07.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
0
W
04.06.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
2
0
L
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
01.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Spartak Trnava
3
1
W
08.12.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
29.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
09.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
18.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
27.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
3
0
W
13.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
23.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
2
0
W
H2H at home: Korona Kielce
15.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
11.04.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
04.12.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
22.09.23
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
12.11.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
15.10.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
10.07.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
0
W
04.06.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
Last matches: Widzew Łódź
01.05.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
18.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Radomiak Radom
1
2
L
04.04.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
14.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Widzew Łódź
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
06.12.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
28.11.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
08.11.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
24.10.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
0
3
L
04.10.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Nieciecza
4
2
W
21.09.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
2
3
L
31.08.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.08.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
27.07.25
Eks
Widzew Łódź
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
H2H away: Widzew Łódź
15.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
L
11.04.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
1
L
04.12.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
L
22.09.23
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
12.11.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
W
15.10.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
0
1
W
10.07.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
2
0
L
04.06.21
H2H
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation