POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
15.05.2026 18:30
Exbud Arena
Referee: T. Kwiatkowski
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
Widzew Łódź
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Tamar Svetlin
Korona Kielce
🟨
21'
Emil Kornvig
Widzew Łódź
🟨
45+1'
Juljan Shehu
Widzew Łódź
⚽
61'
D. Blanik
Korona Kielce
🔄
63'
S. Andreou ↔ M. Krajewski
Widzew Łódź
🔄
69'
D. Blanik ↔ S. Davidovic
Korona Kielce
🟨
72'
Stjepan Davidović
Korona Kielce
🔄
74'
M. Fornalczyk ↔ L. Selahi
Widzew Łódź
🔄
74'
A. Baena Perez ↔ O. Bukari
Widzew Łódź
🔄
76'
M. Stepinski ↔ Antonin
Korona Kielce
🔄
77'
M. Pieczek ↔ K. Matuszewski
Korona Kielce
🔄
79'
F. Alvarez ↔ A. Zeqiri
Widzew Łódź
🟨
83'
Sebastian Bergier
Widzew Łódź
🔄
84'
Nono ↔ V. Nikolov
Korona Kielce
🟨
90+6'
Vladimir Nikolov
Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 75.5%
Draw 9.9%
Widzew Łódź Win 14.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.2
Widzew Łódź1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
38 GF / 39 GA
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
WLDWL
39 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
17
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
15
3.88
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 matches
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic Widzew Łódź
10 Wins 11
9 Draws 6
13 Losses 15
38 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 39
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
17 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 9
3.88 Shots On Goal 4
14.84 Total Shots 13.16
5.06 Corners 4.13
46.1% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Widzew Łódź. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Korona Kielce expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Widzew Łódź in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Widzew Łódź having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 39 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats with a 38:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dawid Błanik (8 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (5 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (4 assists), Wiktor Długosz (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Widzew Łódź Analysis

Widzew Łódź approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 39 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 39:39 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Bergier (14 goals), F. Alvarez (7 goals), J. Shehu (4 goals), with creative support from S. Bergier (3 assists), F. Alvarez (3 assists), J. Shehu (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 9 times, Widzew Łódź won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1 / Widzew Łódź 4-3-3
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 9, draws 2, Widzew Łódź wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation