NORWAY 1. DIVISION
30.08.2026 15:00
Gjemselund Stadion
Referee: M. Koloy
Kongsvinger
Match Timeline
Lyn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
A. Olsen · Assist: H. Nilsen
Lyn
7'
V. Lysell · Assist: R. Christiansen
Kongsvinger
18'
M. Sande · Assist: D. Job
Kongsvinger
29'
A. Olsen
Lyn
🟨
35'
D. Job
Kongsvinger
51'
M. Johansen · Assist: S. Haugen
Lyn
🔄
53'
V. Lysell ↔ L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
57'
F. Christensen
Kongsvinger
🟨
60'
D. Lysgard
Kongsvinger
🟨
61'
E. Race
Lyn
🔄
67'
M. Gjerstrom ↔ E. Nielsen
Kongsvinger
🔄
67'
R. Christiansen ↔ M. Flores
Kongsvinger
🟨
70'
S. Haugen
Lyn
🔄
71'
J. Nois ↔ J. Skaug
Lyn
78'
A. Hellum
Lyn
🔄
83'
O. Kallevag ↔ W. Kurtovic
Lyn
🔄
85'
D. Lysgard ↔ P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
🔄
85'
M. Sande ↔ A. Chaminta
Kongsvinger
🟨
88'
A. Hellum
Lyn
🔄
90+4'
M. Johansen ↔ I. Barnett
Lyn
90'
A. Dybevik
Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger vs Lyn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
1.53
BTTS Yes
88%
1.30
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 82.4%
Draw 4.7%
Lyn Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.29
Lyn1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
65 GF / 43 GA
Lyn Lyn
WLDWL
40 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
22
BTTS Yes
15
22
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 27 matches
Lyn Lyn 27 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Lyn
17 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 16
65 Goals For 40
43 Goals Against 57
2.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
22 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 24
22 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Lyn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 39 points compared to Lyn in 11 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kongsvinger come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lyn. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 18 games, Kongsvinger bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 48:28 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Lyn Analysis

So far, Lyn have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 29:38 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 4 times, Lyn won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Kongsvinger 4-3-3 / Lyn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 4, draws 2, Lyn wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
6 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
7 22 10 2 10 28:31 -3 32
W L L W W
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9
Lyn Away
22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 22 5 5 12 34:48 -14 20
D D D L W
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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