NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Gjemselund Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 82.4%
Draw 4.7%
Lyn Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.34
Lyn1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
64 GF / 43 GA
Lyn Lyn
WLDWL
38 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
22
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 26 matches
Lyn Lyn 26 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Lyn
16 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 16
64 Goals For 38
43 Goals Against 56
2.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
22 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 23
22 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Lyn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 39 points compared to Lyn in 11 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kongsvinger come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lyn. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 18 games, Kongsvinger bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 48:28 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Lyn Analysis

So far, Lyn have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 29:38 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 4 times, Lyn won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Kongsvinger 4-3-3 / Lyn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 4, draws 2, Lyn wins 1
Last matches: Kongsvinger
16.08.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
3
2
W
09.08.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
2
1
W
02.08.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
26.07.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Sandnes ULF
6
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
5
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
Last matches: Lyn
15.08.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
5
1
W
08.08.26
1.
Lyn
Stabaek
3
4
L
02.08.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
2
W
25.07.26
1.
Lyn
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
02.07.26
1.
Lyn
Asane
6
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Lyn
hodd
1
4
L
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Lyn
Bryne
0
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Lyn
Strommen
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
16.05.26
1.
Lyn
Kongsvinger
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Lyn
Stabaek
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Lyn
Haugesund
2
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Moss
3
1
W
H2H: Kongsvinger vs Lyn
16.05.26
H2H
Lyn
Kongsvinger
0
3
W
25.10.25
H2H
Lyn
Kongsvinger
0
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
1
W
16.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
3
L
17.11.24
H2H
Lyn
Kongsvinger
1
2
W
11.08.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Lyn
Kongsvinger
1
1
D
Last matches: Kongsvinger
16.08.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
3
2
W
02.08.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
03.07.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
5
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
H2H at home: Kongsvinger
24.05.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
1
W
16.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
3
L
11.08.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
1
1
D
Last matches: Lyn
08.08.26
1.
Lyn
Stabaek
3
4
L
25.07.26
1.
Lyn
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
24.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Bryne
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Raufoss
1
2
L
H2H away: Lyn
24.05.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
2
3
W
11.08.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Lyn
1
1
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 48:19 29 39
W W W W W
2 18 12 3 3 48:28 20 39
W W L W W
3 18 12 1 5 57:36 21 37
L W W L W
4 18 10 5 3 47:26 21 35
W L W D L
5 18 9 3 6 32:32 0 30
W W W L W
6 18 8 5 5 35:28 7 29
L D W D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W W W L W
8 18 8 2 8 31:32 -1 26
L W W D W
9 18 7 2 9 44:45 -1 23
L W L L L
10 18 6 3 9 32:43 -11 21
W L L W L
11
Lyn Away
18 6 2 10 29:38 -9 20
W L W D W
12 19 6 2 11 26:35 -9 20
L L L L L
13 18 5 3 10 29:41 -12 18
L D L L L
14 18 5 2 11 27:40 -13 17
W L L D L
15 18 5 1 12 22:43 -21 16
L L L W W
16 18 4 3 11 25:45 -20 15
L L W D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation