UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 12:30
Kolos Stadium
Referee: D. Panchyshyn
Kolos Kovalivka
Match Timeline
Obolon'-Brovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
R. Volokhatyi
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
17'
Dmytro Semenov
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
19'
Ardit Tahiri
Kolos Kovalivka
29'
O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
35'
Taras Moroz
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
46'
Elias ↔ A. Rrapaj
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
46'
I. Kane ↔ D. Alefirenko
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
46'
S. Sukhanov ↔ I. Nesterenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
54'
Anton Salabay
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
60'
A. Salabay ↔ D. Denisenko
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
60'
A. Tahiri ↔ Z. Zakharii
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
63'
T. Lyakh ↔ D. Teslyuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
68'
Daniil Denysenko
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
71'
E. Kozik ↔ D. Khrypchuk
Kolos Kovalivka
🟨
73'
Roman Volokhatyi
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
76'
M. Chekh ↔ A. Kulakovskyi
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
87'
I. Medynskyi ↔ R. Lyashchuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
87'
R. Volokhatyi ↔ O. Feshchenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
90+3'
Danyil Alefirenko
Kolos Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
94.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kolos Kovalivka Win 94.2%
Draw 5.8%
Obolon'-Brovar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kolos Kovalivka1.34
Obolon'-Brovar0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WLDWL
23 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
11
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
15
2.46
Shots on Goal
1.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 28 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 27 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Statistic Obolon'-Brovar
12 Wins 5
10 Draws 10
6 Losses 12
29 Goals For 23
23 Goals Against 48
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
11 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 11
2.46 Shots On Goal 1.8
7.69 Total Shots 6.4
2.5 Corners 2.68
32.2% Ball Possession 28.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kolos Kovalivka's more proactive style and Obolon'-Brovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Obolon'-Brovar. Kolos Kovalivka come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kolos Kovalivka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Obolon'-Brovar in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Obolon'-Brovar having the stronger overall control. Kolos Kovalivka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 46 points compared to Obolon'-Brovar in 11 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kolos Kovalivka Analysis

Kolos Kovalivka sit 6 with 46 points after 27 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:21 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Klymchuk (7 goals), Anton Salabay (3 goals), Elias (3 goals), with creative support from Vladyslav Veleten (4 assists), A. Rrapaj (3 assists), A. Tsurikov (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Obolon'-Brovar have collected 28 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Ustymenko (6 goals), S. Sukhanov (4 goals), T. Lyakh (3 goals), with creative support from Oleh Illin (2 assists), Yevgeniy Shevchenko (2 assists), O. Slobodyan (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Kolos Kovalivka won 3 times, Obolon'-Brovar won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Kolos Kovalivka's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Kolos Kovalivka 4-2-3-1 / Obolon'-Brovar 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kolos Kovalivka wins 3, draws 8, Obolon'-Brovar wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga