SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
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Rugby Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
ST Mirren Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.92
ST Mirren2.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WLDWL
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
2.33
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic ST Mirren
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
11 Goals For 7
11 Goals Against 2
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 4.5
8.5 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 6
40.5% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 8 times, ST Mirren won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 6, ST Mirren wins 1
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
Last matches: ST Mirren
08.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
ST Johnstone
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
25.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3
4
L
03.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
H2H: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren
09.05.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
W
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
27.12.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
5
1
L
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
11.05.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
W
27.12.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
22.04.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
2
W
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
15.10.22
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
Last matches: ST Mirren
01.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3
4
L
20.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
03.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
3
3
D
29.11.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
1
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
H2H away: ST Mirren
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
L
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
L
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
3 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
4 2 1 0 1 5:2 3 3
W L
5 2 1 0 1 2:1 1 3
W L
6 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
7 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
9 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
10 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
D L
11 2 0 1 1 1:5 -4 1
L D
12 2 0 0 2 4:9 -5 0
L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)