SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
02.09.2026 18:45
Rugby Park
Referee: D. Dickinson
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
ST Mirren
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
F. Taylor · Assist: N. Agrafiotis
ST Mirren
🟨
38'
Greg Kiltie
Kilmarnock
🟨
42'
Nikolas Agrafiotis
ST Mirren
🔄
46'
J. Yfeko ↔ J. Brandon
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
E. Ring ↔ A. Tshibola
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
T. John-Jules ↔ D. Daniels
Kilmarnock
🔄
61'
N. Agrafiotis ↔ J. Young
ST Mirren
🔄
66'
M. O'Hara ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
🔄
66'
C. R. Mochrie ↔ L. Thomas
ST Mirren
🔄
74'
F. Taylor ↔ J. Richardson
ST Mirren
🔄
74'
I. Kabia ↔ E. Sule
ST Mirren
🔄
78'
T. Lowery ↔ B. Rice
Kilmarnock
🟨
82'
Bailey Rice
Kilmarnock
🟨
82'
Jayden Richardson
ST Mirren

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.9%
2.38
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.62
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.7%
1.43
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 38.5%
Draw 11.6%
ST Mirren Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.82
ST Mirren2.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
11 GF / 15 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
3
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
4.67
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 5 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 4 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic ST Mirren
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
11 Goals For 10
15 Goals Against 5
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
4.67 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 17
3.67 Corners 6.33
44% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 8 times, ST Mirren won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 3-4-1-2 / ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 6, ST Mirren wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 7:4 3 13
W W W W L
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
4 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L L W D W
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 6 2 1 3 8:9 -1 7
L W D L L
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)