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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
04.10.2025 14:00
Rugby Park
Referee: Nick Walsh, Scotland
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
ST Mirren
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
D. Watson
Kilmarnock
⚽
36'
M. Dackers · Assist: J. Brown
Kilmarnock
🟨
46'
Alexander Gogić
ST Mirren
🔄
46'
R. King ↔ K. Baccus
ST Mirren
🔄
46'
R. Idowu ↔ C. McMenamin
ST Mirren
🔄
46'
M. Mandron ↔ D. N'Lundulu
ST Mirren
🔄
64'
L. Donnelly ↔ M. Dijksteel
ST Mirren
🔄
64'
J. Ayunga ↔ E. Mooney
ST Mirren
🔄
65'
B. Anderson ↔ B. Lyons
Kilmarnock
🔄
65'
L. Polworth ↔ D. Daniels
Kilmarnock
🟨
73'
Keanu Baccus
ST Mirren
🔄
82'
G. Kiltie ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
🟨
87'
Djenairo Daniels
Kilmarnock
🔄
90+2'
D. Watson ↔ K. Magennis
Kilmarnock
🔄
90+2'
J. Brown ↔ B. Brannan
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
ST Mirren Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.17
ST Mirren1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
1
3.83
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 6 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 6 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic ST Mirren
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
9 Goals For 5
8 Goals Against 4
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
3.83 Shots On Goal 3.83
11 Total Shots 9.83
4.83 Corners 4.67
37% Ball Possession 37.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 8 times, ST Mirren won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 3-5-2 / ST Mirren 3-5-2
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 6, ST Mirren wins 1

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round